The 10 Best NBA Player Prop Bets For Wednesday November 9, 2022

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Written by Nick Slade
The 10 Best NBA Player Prop Bets For Wednesday November 9, 2022

We've dived deep into our predictive analytics model, otherwise known as DimersBOT, to identify the best odds and betting opportunities, plus the best NBA player props for Wednesday November 9, 2022. Using the world renowned Monte Carlo method, we have simulated every major pro and college sport over 10,000 times to produce NBA predictions that paint the clearest picture of what is likely to occur in any given game, and which players will contribute to those predictions either hitting or missing. We then use these suggested prop bets and match them against the sportsbooks' odds to identify where we have a betting edge, and where we believe the odds makers have got it wrong in their assessment of an NBA matchup.

Using the Total Points, Rebounds, Assists, Three-Pointers, Blocks, Steals and Turnovers player prop markets, and then matching them against the results of our simulations, gives us a massive opportunity to identify the 10 best player prop bets for Wednesday, with the biggest edges, to throw our cash down on today.

 

NBA Player Props Wednesday

Mavericks vs. Magic

BET: Luka Doncic Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made (+134)

We predict Luka to have 4.8 Threes in the Mavs' matchup against the Magic, so based on the +134 odds available, this presents a huge edge of 20.3% against his line of 3.5. To ensure we get full bang for our buck here, we need to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook. You can register an account here and score a $1000 risk-free bet.

Cavaliers vs. Kings

BET: Donovan Mitchell Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made (+132)

After over 10,000 simulations of this game, our predictive analytics model has determined that the 3.5 Three Pointers line set for Mitchell is too low and that he will register 4.6. With +132 odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook, the Over represents an edge of 18.5%. You can join FanDuel here

Trail Blazers vs. Hornets

BET: Damian Lillard Over 3.5 3-Pointers Made (+115)

DimersBOT has Dame hitting 4.7 threes tonight so, at odds of +115, betting Lillard Over 3.5 triples gives us an edge of 16.3%. We need to place this bet at DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users $200 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet. Claim it here.

Knicks vs. Nets

BET: Jalen Brunson Under 6.5 Total Assists (+118)

Following 10,000 different simulations of this matchup between the Kicks and the Nets, our super computer has determined that the 6.5 Assists line set for Jalen Brunson is too high and that he will only register 4.6 dimes. With +118 odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook, the Under represents an edge of 15.0%. You can join FanDuel here.

Rockets vs. Raptors

BET: Kevin Porter Over 6.5 Total Assists (+108)

Unlike Brunson above, we expect Porter to have 8.8 dimes in the Rockets' matchup against the Raptors, so based on the +108 odds we can get, the Over 6.5 assists presents a nice edge of 14.8% against his line. To ensure we maximize the value on offer here, we need to place this bet with Caesars Sportsbook Right now, Caesars will give new users a risk-free bet of up to $1250. Claim yours here

Nuggets vs. Pacers

BET: Nikola Jokic Over 23.5 Points Scored (-120)

Our predictive analytics model has determined that the 23.5 Points line set for Jokic is way too low and that he will register 34.5. Although we're only getting odds of -120 over at FanDuel Sportsbook, the Over still represents a big edge of 12.6% and is a bet we can place with confidence.

BET: Nikola Jokic Over 11.5 Total Rebounds (-120)

The super computer is loving Jokic to have a big game tonight against the Pacers and after over 10,000 simulations of this game has identified that the 11.5 Rebounds line set for Jokic is also too low and that he will register 14.9. Even with -120 odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook, the Over still gives us an edge of 12.5% vs. those odds. You can join FanDuel here.

Cavaliers vs. Kings

BET: Caris LeVert Over 12.5 Points Scored (-108)

Our predictive analytics model has LeVert down for 20.1 points tonight against the Kings, so with odds of -108 available we should bet his Over 12.5 points line with FanDuel Sportsbook where we have a 12.1% edge. You can register an account here and score a $1000 risk-free bet.

Bucks vs. Thunder

BET: Giannis Antetokounmpo Under 7.5 Total Assists (-115)

DimersBOT has Giannis dishing just 5.0 dimes tonight so, at odds of -115, betting Giannis Under 7.5 assists gives us an edge of 10.2%. We need to place this bet at DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users $200 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet. Claim it here.

Suns vs. Timberwolves

BET: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 8.5 Total Rebounds (-122)

We predict KAT to have 11.4 Rebounds in the Timberwolves' matchup against the Suns, so based on the -122 odds available, this presents a huge edge of 10.1% against his line of 8.5. To ensure we get full bang for our buck here, we need to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook. You can register an account here and score a $1000 risk-free bet.

NBA Player Props Today

PLAYER BET EDGE
L. Doncic o3.5 Threes (+134) 20.3%
D. Mitchell o3.5 Threes (+132) 18.5%
D. Lillard o3.5 Threes (+115) 16.3%
J. Brunson u6.5 Assists (+118) 15.0%
K. Porter o6.5 Assists (+105) 14.8%
N. Jokic o23.5 Pts (-120) 12.6%
N. Jokic o11.5 Rebs (-120) 12.5%
C. LeVert o12.5 Pts (-108) 12.1%
G. Antetokounmpo u7.5 Assists (-115) 10.2%
K-A. Towns o8.5 Rebs (-122) 10.1%
 
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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers and Stats Insider, and specializes in soccer, NBA and NHL betting.

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