The 10 Best NBA Player Prop Bets For Friday November 11, 2022

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Written by Nick Slade
The 10 Best NBA Player Prop Bets For Friday November 11, 2022

We've dived deep into our predictive analytics model, otherwise known as DimersBOT, to identify the best odds and betting opportunities, plus the best NBA player props for Friday November 11, 2022. Using the world renowned Monte Carlo method, we have simulated every major pro and college sport over 10,000 times to produce NBA predictions that paint the clearest picture of what is likely to occur in any given game, and which players will contribute to those predictions either hitting or missing. We then use these suggested prop bets and match them against the sportsbooks' odds to identify where we have a betting edge, and where we believe the odds makers have got it wrong in their assessment of an NBA matchup.

Using the Total Points, Rebounds, Assists, Three-Pointers, Blocks, Steals and Turnovers player prop markets, and then matching them against the results of our simulations, gives us a massive opportunity to identify the 10 best player prop bets for Friday, with the biggest edges, to throw our cash down on today.

 

NBA Player Props Friday

Raptors vs. Thunder

BET: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 5.5 Total Assists (+125)

DimersBOT has Shai dishing 8.2 dimes tonight so, at odds of +125, betting his Over 5.5 assists gives us a huge edge of 20.2%. We need to place this bet at BetMGM Sportsbook, where new users get a $1000 risk-free bet. Claim it here.

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies

BET: Kyle Anderson Over 3.5 Total Rebounds (+120)

The super computer has Anderson getting 5.7 boards tonight so, at odds of +120, betting Anderson Over 3.5 rebounds gives us an edge of 16.6%. To get max bang for our buck we need to place this bet at DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $200 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet. Claim it here.

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies

BET: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 8.5 Total Rebounds (+115)

Our predictive analytics model has KAT down for 10.6 boards tonight against the Grizzlies, so with odds of +115 available we should bet his Over 8.5 rebounds line with DraftKings Sportsbook where we have a 15.4% edge. You can register a DraftKings account here and score a $200 from a $5 money line bet.

Raptors vs. Thunder

BET: Josh Giddey Over 6.5 Total Assists (+118)

We predict Aussie Giddey to have 8.3 dimes in OKCs matchup against the Raptors, so based on the +118 odds available, the over presents a nice edge of 8.3% against his line of 6.5. To ensure we get full bang for our buck here, we need to place this bet with FanDuel Sportsbook. You can register an account here and score a $1000 risk-free bet.

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies

BET: Tyus Jones Over 3.5 Total Assists (+125)

After 10,000 simulations of this game our super computer has Jones getting 4.7 assists tonight so, at odds of +125, betting Jones Over 3.5 dimes gives us an edge of 12.5%. To take full advantage of this edge we need to place this bet at DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users get $200 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet. Claim it here.

Pistons vs. Knicks

BET: Jalen Brunson Under 6.5 Total Assists (+105)

We've marked Brunson down for just 4.5 assists tonight against the Pistons, so with odds of +105 available we should bet his Under 6.5 dimes line with DraftKings Sportsbook where we have a 12.4% edge. You can register a DraftKings account here and score a $200 in bonuses from a $5 money line bet.

Cavaliers vs. Warriors

BET: Darius Garland Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made (+110)

DimersBOT has Darius notching 3.4 threes tonight so, at odds of +110, betting his Over 2.5 3-pointers made gives us a tasty edge of 11.7%. We need to place this bet at BetMGM Sportsbook, where new users get a $1000 risk-free bet. Claim it here.

Kings vs. Lakers

BET: Russell Westbrook Under 21.5 Points Scored (-111)

Our predictive analytics model has determined that the 21.5 Points line set for Russ is way too high and that he will register just 14.3. Although we're only getting odds of -111 over at FanDuel Sportsbook, the Under still represents a big edge of 11.0% and is a bet we can place with confidence.

Bucks vs. Spurs

BET: Bobby Portis Under 12.5 Total Rebounds (-105)

Following over 10,000 different simulations of the Bucks-Spurs game, we have Portis notching just 10.4 boards tonight so, at odds of -105, betting his Under 12.5 rebounds line gives us a tempting edge of 10.7%. We need to place this bet at BetMGM Sportsbook, where new users get a $1000 risk-free bet. Claim it here.

Kings vs. Lakers

BET: Russell Westbrook Under 8.5 Total Assists (-135)

DimersBOT is not feeling Russ tonight, this time going after his Assists line if 8.5. We've got him down for just 5.3 dimes against the Kings, so even though his odds aren't great, they still present a 9.0 edge at PointsBet. New PointsBet customers can score 5x $100 risk-free bets by joining today right here.

NBA Player Props Today

PLAYER BET EDGE
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o5.5 Assists (+125) 20.2%
Kyle Anderson o3.5 Rebs (+120) 16.6%
K.A. Townss o8.5 Rebs (+115) 15.4%
Josh Giddey o6.5 Assists (+118) 8.30%
Tyus Jones o3.5 Assists (+125) 12.5%
Jalen Brunson u6.5 Assists (+105) 12.4%
Darius Garland o2.5 Threes (+110) 11.7%
Russ Westbrook u21.5 Points (-111) 11.0%
Bobby Portis  u12.5 Rebs (-105) 10.7%
Russ Westbrook u8.5 Assists (-135) 9.0%
 

 

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers and Stats Insider, and specializes in soccer, NBA and NHL betting.

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