Texans vs. Jaguars Week 5 Prediction and Odds - Oct 9, 2022

profile-img
Written by Kevin Hansen
Texans vs. Jaguars Week 5 Prediction and Odds - Oct 9, 2022

The Jacksonville Jaguars square off with the Houston Texans in NFL Week 5 action at TIAA Bank Field on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Texans vs. Jaguars, as well as game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are featured below.

Today's Houston vs. Jacksonville betting analysis is brought to you by FanDuel Sportsbook, which is currently offering an outstanding No Sweat First Bet promo for new users.

 

Who will win Texans vs. Jaguars?

Based on cutting-edge computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Texans-Jaguars NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' popular predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Jaguars a 75% chance of beating the Texans in Week 5 of the NFL season.

More: Full Betting Analysis for Texans vs. Jaguars

Texans vs. Jaguars Odds

  • Spread: Jaguars -6.5 (-115), Texans +6.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Jaguars -315, Texans +260
  • Total: Over/Under 43.5 (-110/+100)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Jaguars are listed as -6.5 favorites against the Texans, with -115 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Texans (+6.5) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook also has the best odds currently on offer at -105.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Jaguars at -315, which means you can risk $315 to win $100, for a total payout of $415, if they get the W.

On the other hand, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Texans at +260, where you can bet $100 to profit $260, earning a total payout of $360, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 43.5 with Caesars Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at +100.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Jaguars (-6.5) are a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 43.5-point Over/Under is a 56% chance of going Over.

More: Predictions for Every NFL Week 5 Game

Best Bets for Texans vs. Jaguars

 

Our best bets are based on world-class modeling and gambling intelligence to help you make better investments with your state's legal sportsbooks.

Texans vs. Jaguars Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Houston vs. Jacksonville at TIAA Bank Field in Week 5 has the Jaguars winning 25-18.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

 

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Texans-Jaguars matchup in Week 5, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Texans vs. Jaguars Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Texans vs. Jaguars? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Texans and Jaguars, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop bets for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Jacksonville's James Robinson is most likely to score the first touchdown in Texans vs. Jaguars.

DimersBOT gives Robinson a 12.7% chance of scoring the first TD at TIAA Bank Field, while the Jaguars RB is a 49.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

 

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Houston Texans

  • Dameon Pierce: 12.4% probability
  • Brandin Cooks: 7.1% probability
  • Nico Collins: 6.7% probability
  • O.J. Howard: 4.9% probability
  • Davis Mills: 3.7% probability

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • James Robinson: 12.7% probability
  • Travis Etienne: 9.4% probability
  • Christian Kirk: 9.4% probability
  • Zay Jones: 6.6% probability
  • Trevor Lawrence: 5.8% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Houston Texans

  • Dameon Pierce: 49.7% probability
  • Brandin Cooks: 32.2% probability
  • Nico Collins: 29.8% probability
  • O.J. Howard: 23.7% probability
  • Davis Mills: 18.1% probability

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • James Robinson: 49.0% probability
  • Christian Kirk: 38.9% probability
  • Travis Etienne: 38.0% probability
  • Zay Jones: 28.7% probability
  • Trevor Lawrence: 26.0% probability

Texans-Jaguars Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' Davis Mills is projected for 257 passing yards. The Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is expected to throw for 252 yards.

Texans Starting QB

  • Davis Mills: 257 projected yards

Jaguars Starting QB

  • Trevor Lawrence: 252 projected yards

Texans Rushing

  • Dameon Pierce: 73 projected yards
  • Rex Burkhead: 11 projected yards
  • Davis Mills: 8 projected yards

Jaguars Rushing

  • James Robinson: 70 projected yards
  • Travis Etienne: 37 projected yards
  • Trevor Lawrence: 18 projected yards

Texans Receiving

  • Brandin Cooks: 58 projected yards
  • Nico Collins: 54 projected yards
  • O.J. Howard: 35 projected yards
  • Jordan Akins: 33 projected yards
  • Rex Burkhead: 23 projected yards

Jaguars Receiving

  • Christian Kirk: 70 projected yards
  • Zay Jones: 42 projected yards
  • Marvin Jones: 41 projected yards
  • Evan Engram: 35 projected yards
  • Travis Etienne: 25 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before Texans vs. Jaguars on Sunday October 9, 2022.

 

Texans vs. Jaguars 2022

The NFL Week 5 game between the Jaguars and Texans at TIAA Bank Field is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

  • Who: Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
  • Date: Sunday October 9, 2022
  • Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
  • Venue: TIAA Bank Field

Want to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NFL? We've got access to the best available welcome offers in every legal betting state.

Want more NFL analysis like this?

To get more NFL betting previews like you've just read for Texans vs. Jaguars, all you've gotta do is visit Dimers' NFL Betting News page. It's that easy – they're all there!

We use the power of predictive analytics to find value in the markets so we can produce the best NFL betting previews out there. We do this by comparing our in-house probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) the minute they go live.

So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – it's only a click away.

profile-img
Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

Related Articles

More Articles
Loading...
Loading...
More from Dimers
About Dimers
icon 22,000+
Events covered per year
icon 10,000,000+
Users
Our partners
FanDuelDraftKingsBetMGMbet365