Texans vs. Jaguars Week 3 Prediction and Odds - September 24, 2023

The Jacksonville Jaguars will square off with the Houston Texans in NFL Week 3 action at EverBank Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' best betting picks for Texans vs. Jaguars, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured in this article.

This Houston vs. Jacksonville betting preview is brought to you by Bet365, which has an awesome Bet $1, Get $365 in Bonus Bets promo for new customers.

Who Will Win: Texans vs. Jaguars

Based on cutting-edge machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Texans-Jaguars NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' renowned predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Jaguars a 75% chance of winning against the Texans in Week 3 of the NFL season.

More: Betting Guide for Texans vs. Jaguars

Texans vs. Jaguars Odds

• Spread: Jaguars -7.5 (-105), Texans +7.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Jaguars -360, Texans +300
• Total: Over/Under 43.5 (-110/-108)

The Jaguars are -7.5 favorites versus the Texans, with -105 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Texans (+7.5) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on the market at -110.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Jaguars at -360, which means you can risk $360 to win $100, for a total payout of $460, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Texans at +300, where you can put down $100 to profit $300, earning a total payout of $400, if they win.

The Over/Under is set at 43.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -108.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Texans (+7.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 43.5-point Over/Under has a 56% chance of going Over.

More: Best Prop Bets to Make Today

Best Bets: Texans vs. Jaguars

• Spread: Texans +7.5 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook (56% probability)
• Moneyline: Texans @ +300 via BetMGM (0.3% edge)
• Total: Over 43.5 @ -110 via PointsBet (56% probability)

Our best bets are based on detailed modeling and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every day of the year.

While the Jaguars are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Texans moneyline is the best option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.

Texans vs. Jaguars Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Houston vs. Jacksonville at EverBank Stadium in Week 3 has the Jaguars prevailing 25-18.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information.

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Texans-Jaguars game in Week 3, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live win probabilities.

Texans vs. Jaguars Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Texans vs. Jaguars? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Texans and Jaguars, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Jacksonville's Calvin Ridley is most likely to score the first touchdown in Texans vs. Jaguars.

DimersBOT gives Ridley a 10.4% chance of getting in for six first at EverBank Stadium, while the Jaguars WR is a 42.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Houston Texans

• Dameon Pierce: 8.7% probability
• Nico Collins: 6.8% probability
• C.J. Stroud: 5.3% probability
• Tank Dell: 5.3% probability
• Robert Woods: 5.2% probability

Jacksonville Jaguars

• Calvin Ridley: 10.4% probability
• Travis Etienne: 9.7% probability
• Christian Kirk: 7.9% probability
• Evan Engram: 6.9% probability
• Trevor Lawrence: 6.0% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Houston Texans

• Dameon Pierce: 37.5% probability
• Nico Collins: 30.2% probability
• C.J. Stroud: 24.7% probability
• Tank Dell: 23.7% probability
• Robert Woods: 23.2% probability

Jacksonville Jaguars

• Calvin Ridley: 42.2% probability
• Travis Etienne: 40.4% probability
• Christian Kirk: 33.9% probability
• Evan Engram: 30.4% probability
• Trevor Lawrence: 28.2% probability

Texans-Jaguars Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected for 241 passing yards, while the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is expected to throw for 254 yards.

Texans Starting QB

• C.J. Stroud: 241 projected yards

Jaguars Starting QB

• Trevor Lawrence: 254 projected yards

Texans Rushing

• Dameon Pierce: 67 projected yards
• Devin Singletary: 23 projected yards
• C.J. Stroud: 18 projected yards

Jaguars Rushing

• Travis Etienne: 71 projected yards
• Trevor Lawrence: 19 projected yards
• Tank Bigsby: 19 projected yards

Texans Receiving

• Nico Collins: 50 projected yards
• Robert Woods: 42 projected yards
• Tank Dell: 39 projected yards
• Dalton Schultz: 29 projected yards
• Brevin Jordan: 16 projected yards

Jaguars Receiving

• Calvin Ridley: 74 projected yards
• Christian Kirk: 53 projected yards
• Evan Engram: 52 projected yards
• Travis Etienne: 26 projected yards
• Tim Jones: 22 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep an eye on this page for any changes to our betting analysis ahead of Texans vs. Jaguars on Sunday September 24, 2023.

Texans vs. Jaguars 2023

The NFL Week 3 game between the Jaguars and Texans at EverBank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
• Date: Sunday September 24, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: EverBank Stadium

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Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions Today

Dimers' picks are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While our Texans vs. Jaguars picks can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – check out our NFL picks and predictions.

In addition to our leading NFL predictions, we also feature the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the best odds available every day of the NFL season.