Texans vs. Falcons Week 5 Prediction and Odds - October 8, 2023

NFL Week 5 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the Houston Texans take on the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Dimers' free betting picks for Texans vs. Falcons, plus game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are detailed below.

This Houston vs. Atlanta betting preview is sponsored by Bet365, which has a Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets promo for new customers.

Who Will Win: Texans vs. Falcons

Based on cutting-edge machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Texans-Falcons NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Falcons a 55% chance of beating the Texans in Week 5 of the NFL season.

More: Texans vs. Falcons Simulated 10K Times

Texans vs. Falcons Odds

• Spread: Falcons -2.5 (-108), Texans +2.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Falcons -134, Texans +120
• Total: Over/Under 42 (-110/-110)

The Falcons are -2.5 favorites against the Texans, with -108 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Texans (+2.5) to cover the spread, PointsBet has the best odds currently on offer at -110.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Falcons at -134, which means you can risk $134 to win $100, for a total payout of $234, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Texans at +120, where you can bet $100 to profit $120, earning a total payout of $220, if they win.

The Over/Under sits at 42 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Texans (+2.5) have a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the 42-point Over/Under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

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More: Free Prop Picks

Best Bets: Texans vs. Falcons

• Spread: Texans +2.5 @ -110 via PointsBet (60% probability) 🔥
• Moneyline: Texans @ +120 via DraftKings Sportsbook
• Total: Under 42 @ -110 via PointsBet (50% probability)

If you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best free picks today across any sport.

Our best bets are based on world-class modeling and betting intelligence to help you make smarter decisions with your state's legal sportsbooks.

While the Falcons are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Texans moneyline is the best option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers.com is one of the keys to being a profitable bettor in the long run.

Texans vs. Falcons Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Houston vs. Atlanta at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 5 has the Falcons winning 21-20.

Click or tap on See Matchup to find out more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Texans-Falcons game in Week 5, including pregame predictions, free betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Texans vs. Falcons Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Texans vs. Falcons? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Texans and Falcons, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is most likely to score the first TD in Texans vs. Falcons.

DimersBOT gives Robinson a 16.6% chance of getting in for six first at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB is a 58.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Houston Texans

• Dameon Pierce: 10.9% probability
• Nico Collins: 8.8% probability
• Tank Dell: 6.3% probability
• Devin Singletary: 5.7% probability
• Robert Woods: 5.2% probability

Atlanta Falcons

• Bijan Robinson: 16.6% probability
• Drake London: 6.8% probability
• Tyler Allgeier: 6.5% probability
• Kyle Pitts: 5.2% probability
• Jonnu Smith: 4.8% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Houston Texans

• Dameon Pierce: 43.9% probability
• Nico Collins: 36.1% probability
• Tank Dell: 27.9% probability
• Devin Singletary: 24.8% probability
• Robert Woods: 22.7% probability

Atlanta Falcons

• Bijan Robinson: 58.2% probability
• Drake London: 29.4% probability
• Tyler Allgeier: 27.3% probability
• Kyle Pitts: 22.1% probability
• Jonnu Smith: 21.3% probability

Texans-Falcons Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected for 228 passing yards, while the Falcons' Desmond Ridder is expected to throw for just 187 yards.

Texans Starting QB

• C.J. Stroud: 228 projected yards

Falcons Starting QB

• Desmond Ridder: 187 projected yards

Texans Rushing

• Dameon Pierce: 62 projected yards
• Devin Singletary: 27 projected yards
• C.J. Stroud: 17 projected yards

Falcons Rushing

• Bijan Robinson: 75 projected yards
• Tyler Allgeier: 32 projected yards
• Desmond Ridder: 12 projected yards

Texans Receiving

• Nico Collins: 56 projected yards
• Tank Dell: 41 projected yards
• Robert Woods: 38 projected yards
• Dalton Schultz: 21 projected yards
• John Metchie: 15 projected yards

Falcons Receiving

• Drake London: 48 projected yards
• Bijan Robinson: 37 projected yards
• Jonnu Smith: 36 projected yards
• Kyle Pitts: 36 projected yards
• Mack Hollins: 24 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so check this page for any changes to our betting insights ahead of Texans vs. Falcons on Sunday October 8, 2023.

Texans vs. Falcons 2023

The NFL Week 5 action between the Falcons and Texans at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Houston Texans vs. Atlanta Falcons
• Date: Sunday October 8, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

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Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions with Dimers

Dimers' picks and predictions are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While these Texans vs. Falcons picks can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

What Other NFL Games Are on Today?

The Texans and Falcons aren't the only two NFL teams you can bet on today. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and best bets for each and every NFL game via our NFL predictions. Not only do we provide with you great predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Spread, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Check it out now!

In addition to our leading NFL predictions, Dimers also offers the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the best odds available every day of the NFL season.