Rays vs. Padres Prediction: San Diego Predicted to Win Saturday's MLB Matchup [4/26/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Our expert prediction for Saturday's Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays-San Diego Padres Predictions and Game Preview.
PETCO Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Tampa Bay Rays and San Diego Padres this Saturday.

MLB action continues on Saturday at 8:40PM ET as the Tampa Bay Rays take on the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park.

Dylan Cease (1-1, 6.04 ERA) will start for the Padres, up against Ryan Pepiot (1-3, 4.82 ERA) for the Rays.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Padres as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Tampa Bay-San Diego game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Padres are more likely to win, while the Rays have a lower chance of victory."

For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Rays vs. Padres predictions page.

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Padres vs. Rays Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLB matchup between the Rays and Padres 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Padres a 59% chance of beating the Rays.

According to our model, the Rays (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the 7-run over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 12:27AM, Apr 27
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Rays
Win %
41%
59%
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See Matchup
Padres
Rays TB
Win %
41%
59%
See Matchup
Padres SD
Ryan Pepiot 1-3, 4.82 ERA
Dylan Cease 1-1, 6.04 ERA
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Rays vs. Padres Odds [4/26/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Rays Padres
Run Line +1.5 (-190) -1.5 (+160)
Moneyline +125 -142
Total o7 (-105) u7 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Rays vs. Padres Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Rays vs. Padres matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Free MLB Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Rays vs. Padres Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's MLB game between the Padres and Rays at PETCO Park is scheduled to start at 8:40PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Rays vs. Padres matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Tampa Bay vs. San Diego picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

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Conclusion

We predict the Padres, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Rays on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rays vs. Padres insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay informed with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds offer the most up-to-date projections for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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