Rays vs. Padres Prediction: San Diego Predicted to Win Friday's MLB Matchup [4/25/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Our expert prediction for Friday's Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays-San Diego Padres Predictions and Game Preview.
PETCO Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Tampa Bay Rays and San Diego Padres this Friday.

The San Diego Padres will take on the Tampa Bay Rays in MLB action at PETCO Park on Friday, beginning at 9:40PM ET.

Michael King (3-0, 2.57 ERA) will be on the bump for the Padres, pitting him against Shane Baz (2-0, 3.22 ERA) for the Rays.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Padres as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Tampa Bay-San Diego game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Padres' chance of winning is 58%, while the Rays' is 42%."

For expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Rays vs. Padres predictions page.

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Padres vs. Rays Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB game between the Rays and Padres 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Padres a 58% chance of beating the Rays.

According to our model, the Rays (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7 runs has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 1:28AM, Apr 26
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Rays
Win %
42%
58%
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See Matchup
Padres
Rays TB
Win %
42%
58%
See Matchup
Padres SD
Shane Baz 2-0, 3.22 ERA
Michael King 3-0, 2.57 ERA
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Rays vs. Padres Odds [4/25/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Rays Padres
Run Line +1.5 (-185) -1.5 (+155)
Moneyline +125 -144
Total o7 (+100) u7 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Rays vs. Padres Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Rays vs. Padres matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Today

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest predictions featured below.

Rays vs. Padres Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's MLB action between the Padres and Rays at PETCO Park is scheduled to begin at 9:40PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Friday's Rays vs. Padres matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Tampa Bay vs. San Diego picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict the Padres, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Rays on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rays vs. Padres insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Keep up with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most up-to-date predictions for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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