Lightning vs. Golden Knights Prediction: Vegas Predicted to Win Sunday's NHL Matchup [3/23/2025]

NHL action continues on Sunday at 8:00PM ET as the Tampa Bay Lightning square off with the Vegas Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Golden Knights as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Tampa Bay-Vegas game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Golden Knights with a win probability of 53%, while the Lightning have 47%."

For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Lightning vs. Golden Knights predictions page.

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Lightning vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NHL matchup between the Lightning and Golden Knights 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Golden Knights a 53% chance of defeating the Lightning.

According to our model, the Lightning (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6 goals has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Lightning vs. Golden Knights Odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Lightning	Golden Knights
Puck Line	+1.5 (-235)	-1.5 (+205)
Moneyline	+100	-115
Total	o6 (-115)	u6 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Lightning vs. Golden Knights Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Lightning vs. Golden Knights matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Lightning vs. Golden Knights Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Lightning vs. Golden Knights?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Golden Knights.

Our projections give Point a 6.7% chance of scoring the first goal at T-Mobile Arena, while the Lightning star is a 34.5% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	First Goal Probability
Brayden Point	6.7%
Jake Guentzel	6.3%
Nikita Kucherov	5.8%

Vegas Golden Knights

Player	First Goal Probability
Jack Eichel	6.1%
Pavel Dorofeyev	5.3%
Tomas Hertl	5.0%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point	34.5%
Jake Guentzel	33.3%
Brandon Hagel	29.7%

Vegas Golden Knights

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Jack Eichel	30.9%
Pavel Dorofeyev	28.4%
Tomas Hertl	25.8%

Lightning vs. Golden Knights Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's game between the Golden Knights and Lightning at T-Mobile Arena is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.

• Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Vegas Golden Knights
• Date: Sunday, March 23, 2025
• Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: T-Mobile Arena

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Lightning vs. Golden Knights matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Tampa Bay vs. Vegas picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Golden Knights, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Lightning on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lightning vs. Golden Knights insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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