Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Toronto Predicted to Win Monday's NHL Matchup [1/20/2025]

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Tampa Bay Lightning are scheduled to meet in the NHL at Scotiabank Arena on Monday, starting at 7:30PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Tampa Bay-Toronto game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Maple Leafs are likely to win, with a probability of 53%, compared to the Lightning's 47%."

For further insights into Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Lightning vs. Maple Leafs predictions page.

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Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Monday's matchup between the Maple Leafs and Lightning at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:30PM ET.

• Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
• Date: Monday, January 20, 2025
• Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Scotiabank Arena
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster

Dimers.com's full preview of Monday's Lightning vs. Maple Leafs matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Tampa Bay vs. Toronto picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NHL game between the Lightning and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 53% chance of defeating the Lightning.

According to our model, the Lightning (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 53% chance of staying under.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Lightning	Maple Leafs
Puck Line	+1.5 (-218)	-1.5 (+190)
Moneyline	+112	-130
Total	o6.5 (-105)	u6.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Lightning vs. Maple Leafs matchup is on the puck line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs. Maple Leafs?

According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Maple Leafs.

Our projections give Matthews a 10.7% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 46.8% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	First Goal Probability
Brayden Point	8.1%
Jake Guentzel	7.3%
Nikita Kucherov	6.7%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	10.7%
William Nylander	6.7%
Mitch Marner	5.5%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point	40.8%
Jake Guentzel	36.3%
Nikita Kucherov	35.2%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	46.8%
William Nylander	35.1%
Mitch Marner	29.1%

Conclusion

We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Lightning on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lightning vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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