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Lightning vs. Senators Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Thursday's NHL Matchup [4/3/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Thursday's Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators matchup.
NHL action continues on Thursday at 7:00PM ET as the Tampa Bay Lightning lock horns with the Ottawa Senators at Canadian Tire Centre.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Tampa Bay-Ottawa game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Lightning with a win probability of 57% and the Senators with 43%."
For a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Lightning vs. Senators predictions page.
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Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL game between the Lightning and Senators 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Lightning a 57% chance of defeating the Senators.
According to our model, the Senators (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 55% chance of going over.
Lightning vs. Senators Odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lightning | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+175) | +1.5 (-205) |
| Moneyline | -145 | +126 |
| Total | o5.5 (-120) | u5.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Lightning vs. Senators Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Lightning vs. Senators matchup is on the puck line.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Lightning-Senators Pick Get Dimers Pro Lightning vs. Senators Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs. Senators?
According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Senators.
Our projections give Point a 7.8% chance of scoring the first goal at Canadian Tire Centre, while the Lightning star is a 38.7% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 7.8% |
| Jake Guentzel | 7.6% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 6.1% |
Ottawa Senators
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tim Stutzle | 5.7% |
| Drake Batherson | 4.7% |
| Dylan Cozens | 4.5% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 38.7% |
| Jake Guentzel | 37.6% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 34.3% |
Ottawa Senators
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tim Stutzle | 28.7% |
| Drake Batherson | 26.0% |
| Shane Pinto | 24.1% |
Lightning vs. Senators Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Thursday's matchup between the Senators and Lightning at Canadian Tire Centre is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa Senators
- Date: Thursday, April 3, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Canadian Tire Centre
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Lightning vs. Senators matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Tampa Bay vs. Ottawa picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Senators on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lightning vs. Senators insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on NHL
Stay informed with the latest NHL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the latest projections for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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