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Read Article Lightning vs. Rangers Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Monday's NHL Matchup [4/7/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Monday's Tampa Bay Lightning vs NY Rangers matchup.
The NY Rangers and Tampa Bay Lightning are scheduled to meet in the NHL at Madison Square Garden on Monday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Tampa Bay-NY Rangers game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Lightning are likely to win, with a probability of 56%, compared to the Rangers' 44%."
For further insights into Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Lightning vs. Rangers predictions page.
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Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NHL matchup between the Lightning and Rangers 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Lightning a 56% chance of beating the Rangers.
According to our model, the Rangers (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 8:15PM, Apr 7
Moneyline
Over / Under
Puck Line
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Lightning vs. Rangers Odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lightning | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+165) | +1.5 (-188) |
| Moneyline | -160 | +136 |
| Total | o5.5 (-120) | u5.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Lightning vs. Rangers Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Lightning vs. Rangers matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Lightning-Rangers Pick Get Dimers Pro Lightning vs. Rangers Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Lightning vs. Rangers?
According to our model, Tampa Bay's Jake Guentzel is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Rangers.
Our projections give Guentzel a 7.8% chance of scoring the first goal at Madison Square Garden, while the Lightning star is a 38.6% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 7.8% |
| Brayden Point | 7.8% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 6.2% |
NY Rangers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| J.T. Miller | 6.2% |
| Artemi Panarin | 6.1% |
| Chris Kreider | 5.3% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 38.6% |
| Jake Guentzel | 38.6% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 32.5% |
NY Rangers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Artemi Panarin | 30.9% |
| J.T. Miller | 29.9% |
| Chris Kreider | 27.6% |
Lightning vs. Rangers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Monday's matchup between the Rangers and Lightning at Madison Square Garden is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. NY Rangers
- Date: Monday, April 7, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Madison Square Garden
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Monday's Lightning vs. Rangers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Tampa Bay vs. NY Rangers picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Rangers on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lightning vs. Rangers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Stay informed with the latest NHL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most up-to-date projections for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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