Lightning vs. Canadiens Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Sunday's NHL Matchup [2/9/2025]

The Montreal Canadiens and Tampa Bay Lightning will meet in the NHL at Bell Centre on Sunday, with puck drop at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Tampa Bay-Montreal game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Lightning with a win probability of 60%, while the Canadiens have 40%."

For a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Lightning vs. Canadiens predictions page.

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Lightning vs. Canadiens Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NHL game between the Lightning and Canadiens 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Lightning a 60% chance of defeating the Canadiens.

According to our model, the 6.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Lightning vs. Canadiens Odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Lightning	Canadiens
Moneyline	-178	+165
Total	o6.5 (+104)	u6.5 (-125)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Lightning vs. Canadiens Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Lightning vs. Canadiens matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Lightning vs. Canadiens Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Lightning vs. Canadiens?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Jake Guentzel is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Canadiens.

Our projections give Guentzel an 8.4% chance of scoring the first goal at Bell Centre, while the Lightning star is a 40.4% chance of registering an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	First Goal Probability
Jake Guentzel	8.4%
Brayden Point	8.3%
Nikita Kucherov	8.2%

Montreal Canadiens

Player	First Goal Probability
Juraj Slafkovsky	5.4%
Nick Suzuki	5.1%
Cole Caufield	4.9%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point	41.6%
Jake Guentzel	40.4%
Nikita Kucherov	40.1%

Montreal Canadiens

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Nick Suzuki	27.2%
Cole Caufield	27.2%
Juraj Slafkovsky	26.5%

Lightning vs. Habs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's game between the Canadiens and Lightning at Bell Centre is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Montreal Canadiens
• Date: Sunday, February 9, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Bell Centre

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Lightning vs. Canadiens matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Tampa Bay vs. Montreal picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Lightning, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Canadiens on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lightning vs. Canadiens insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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