Lightning vs. Panthers Prediction: Florida Predicted to Win Monday's NHL Matchup [4/28/2025]

The Florida Panthers will take on the Tampa Bay Lightning in the 2025 NHL Playoffs at Amerant Bank Arena on Monday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Panthers as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Tampa Bay-Florida game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Panthers are likely to win, with a probability of 55%, compared to the Lightning's 45%."

For a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Lightning vs. Panthers predictions page.

Panthers vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Lightning and Panthers 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Panthers a 55% chance of defeating the Lightning.

According to our model, the Lightning (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Lightning vs. Panthers Odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Lightning	Panthers
Puck Line	+1.5 (-205)	-1.5 (+170)
Moneyline	+126	-148
Total	o5.5 (-110)	u5.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Lightning vs. Panthers Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Lightning vs. Panthers matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Lightning vs. Panthers Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs. Panthers?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Panthers.

Our projections give Point a 7.8% chance of scoring the first goal at Amerant Bank Arena, while the Lightning star is a 35.6% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	First Goal Probability
Brayden Point	7.8%
Jake Guentzel	6.8%
Nikita Kucherov	6.4%

Florida Panthers

Player	First Goal Probability
Matthew Tkachuk	6.3%
Carter Verhaeghe	6.0%
Sam Reinhart	5.4%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point	35.6%
Jake Guentzel	31.7%
Nikita Kucherov	29.3%

Florida Panthers

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Carter Verhaeghe	29.8%
Matthew Tkachuk	29.6%
Sam Reinhart	27.1%

Lightning vs. Panthers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Monday's action between the Panthers and Lightning in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Florida Panthers
• Date: Monday, April 28, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Amerant Bank Arena

The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is the National Hockey League's postseason elimination tournament to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.

A total of 16 teams, including the Lightning and Panthers, made the NHL Playoffs 2025, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.

Each round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.

Dimers.com's full preview of Monday's Lightning vs. Panthers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Tampa Bay vs. Florida picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Panthers, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Lightning on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lightning vs. Panthers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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