Lightning vs. Panthers Prediction: Florida Predicted to Win Saturday's NHL Matchup [4/26/2025]

The Florida Panthers will face the Tampa Bay Lightning in the 2025 NHL Playoffs at Amerant Bank Arena on Saturday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Panthers as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Tampa Bay-Florida game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Panthers are more likely to win, while the Lightning have a lower chance of victory."

For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Lightning vs. Panthers predictions page.

Panthers vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL Playoffs game between the Lightning and Panthers 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Panthers a 54% chance of beating the Lightning.

According to our model, the Lightning (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of going over.

Lightning vs. Panthers Odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Lightning	Panthers
Puck Line	+1.5 (-225)	-1.5 (+190)
Moneyline	+115	-135
Total	o5.5 (-105)	u5.5 (-114)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Lightning vs. Panthers Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Lightning vs. Panthers matchup is on the puck line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Lightning vs. Panthers Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs. Panthers?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Panthers.

Our projections give Point an 8.3% chance of scoring the first goal at Amerant Bank Arena, while the Lightning star is a 36.2% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	First Goal Probability
Brayden Point	8.3%
Nikita Kucherov	6.6%
Jake Guentzel	6.1%

Florida Panthers

Player	First Goal Probability
Carter Verhaeghe	5.8%
Matthew Tkachuk	5.6%
Sam Reinhart	4.8%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point	36.2%
Jake Guentzel	30.5%
Nikita Kucherov	30.0%

Florida Panthers

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Carter Verhaeghe	30.2%
Matthew Tkachuk	28.2%
Sam Reinhart	27.7%

Lightning vs. Panthers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's game between the Panthers and Lightning in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Florida Panthers
• Date: Saturday, April 26, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Amerant Bank Arena

The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is an elimination tournament in the National Hockey League to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.

Sixteen teams, including the Lightning and Panthers, reached the 2025 NHL Playoffs, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.

Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.

Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Lightning vs. Panthers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Tampa Bay vs. Florida picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Panthers, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Lightning on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lightning vs. Panthers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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