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Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Edmonton Oilers Prediction, Odds, Picks for NHL Thursday [12/14/2023]

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Edmonton Oilers Prediction, Odds, Picks for NHL Thursday [12/14/2023]

The Edmonton Oilers will face the Tampa Bay Lightning in NHL action at Rogers Place on Thursday, commencing at 9:00PM ET.

Dimers' comprehensive betting preview for Thursday's Lightning vs. Oilers matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Lightning vs. Oilers Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Lightning-Oilers NHL matchup 10,000 times as part of our NHL picks for tonight.

Dimers' famous predictive analytics model currently gives the Oilers a 59% chance of defeating the Lightning.

According to our model, the Lightning (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 53% chance of going Over.

To make the most of today's Tampa Bay vs. Edmonton betting preview, check out the best sportsbook promos currently available in your state.

Lightning vs. Oilers Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Lightning Oilers
Puck Line +1.5 (-155) -1.5 (+142)
Moneyline +145 -175
Total o6.5 (-135) u6.5 (+114)
  • The Oilers are -1.5 favorites versus the Lightning, with +142 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the underdog Lightning (+1.5) to cover the puck line, BetMGM Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -155.
  • BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Oilers at -175. That means you can risk $175 to win $100, for a total payout of $275, if they get the W.
  • On the other hand, BetMGM also has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at +145, where you can put down $100 to profit $145, earning a total payout of $245, if they win.
  • The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6.5 with DraftKings, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -135, as well as the best odds for the Under at +114.

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

As always, make sure you check all the legal sports betting sites that are available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

Lightning vs. Oilers Picks

By comparing our probabilities to the odds listed above, we have found the best betting picks to make on this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Puck Line Lightning +1.5 -155
Moneyline Lightning +145
Total Under 6.5 +114

 

While the Oilers are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Lightning moneyline is the best option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers is crucial to achieving long-term profitability as a sports bettor.

Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit on this occasion, Under 6.5 is our best bet on account of the better odds (+114) that are available from DraftKings Sportsbook.

Our NHL best bets are based on detailed modeling and wagering intelligence to serve you the best possible plays every day of the year.

Lightning vs. Oilers Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Lightning vs. Oilers? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Lightning and Oilers this Thursday.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Thursday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Edmonton's Connor McDavid is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Oilers.

DimersBOT gives McDavid an 8.7% chance of scoring the first goal at Rogers Place, while the Oilers star is a 43.6% chance of registering an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player First Goal Probability
Brayden Point 7.0%
Nikita Kucherov 6.9%
Steven Stamkos 5.7%
Brandon Hagel 5.2%
Nick Paul 3.2%

Edmonton Oilers

Player First Goal Probability
Connor McDavid 8.7%
Leon Draisaitl 7.1%
Zach Hyman 6.8%
Evander Kane 4.4%
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 4.1%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point 37.1%
Nikita Kucherov 36.8%
Steven Stamkos 31.6%
Brandon Hagel 29.3%
Nick Paul 20.9%

Edmonton Oilers

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Connor McDavid 43.6%
Leon Draisaitl 38.7%
Zach Hyman 33.7%
Evander Kane 29.1%
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 24.5%
Remember, our model updates often, so keep checking this article for any changes to our betting insights before Lightning vs. Oilers on Thursday December 14, 2023.

Lightning vs. Oilers Game Information

Thursday's matchup between the Oilers and Lightning at Rogers Place is scheduled to begin at 9:00PM ET.

Click or tap on See Matchup for full coverage of Lightning vs. Oilers, including pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

 

How to Bet on Lightning vs. Oilers

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These fees help us keep Dimers free for all sports fans. So, if you like what you see, support us by joining one of our trusted sports betting partners below.

Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on the Thursday's Lightning vs. Oilers clash, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

Our picks are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Lightning vs. Oilers picks can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee.

More on NHL

Stay updated on the current NHL news and our data-led NHL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds give you the latest projections and the best available odds on the Stanley Cup winner.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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