Lightning vs. Stars Prediction: Close Contest Projected After New Data Released for Thursday's NHL Matchup [3/20/2025]

NHL action continues on Thursday at 8:00PM ET as the Tampa Bay Lightning square off with the Dallas Stars at American Airlines Center.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects an equal chance for both the Stars and Lightning to win today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Tampa Bay-Dallas game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"Based on the latest updates and extensive data, we predict a 50-50 chance for both the Stars and Lightning, making it a highly competitive matchup."

For further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Lightning vs. Stars predictions page.

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Lightning vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL game between the Lightning and Stars 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently can't split the two teams, giving both the Lightning and Stars a 50% chance of winning the game.

According to our model, the Stars (+1.5) have a 71% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Lightning vs. Stars Odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Lightning	Stars
Puck Line	-1.5 (+200)	+1.5 (-250)
Moneyline	-120	+100
Total	o6 (-105)	u6 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Lightning vs. Stars Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Lightning vs. Stars matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Lightning vs. Stars Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Lightning vs. Stars?

According to our model, Dallas' Jason Robertson is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Stars.

Our projections give Robertson a 7.7% chance of scoring the first goal at American Airlines Center, while the Stars star is a 36.6% chance of registering an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	First Goal Probability
Jake Guentzel	7.2%
Brayden Point	6.7%
Nikita Kucherov	5.7%

Dallas Stars

Player	First Goal Probability
Jason Robertson	7.7%
Wyatt Johnston	7.4%
Mikko Rantanen	5.5%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Jake Guentzel	36.7%
Brayden Point	34.4%
Nikita Kucherov	30.4%

Dallas Stars

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Wyatt Johnston	36.7%
Jason Robertson	36.6%
Mikko Rantanen	30.2%

Lightning vs. Stars Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's action between the Stars and Lightning at American Airlines Center is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.

• Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Dallas Stars
• Date: Thursday, March 20, 2025
• Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: American Airlines Center

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Thursday's Lightning vs. Stars matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Tampa Bay vs. Dallas picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict a close game between the Lightning and Stars on Thursday, with each team having a 50% chance of winning.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lightning vs. Stars insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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