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Lightning vs. Sabres Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Saturday's NHL Matchup [4/5/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres matchup.
The Buffalo Sabres will take on the favored Tampa Bay Lightning in NHL action at KeyBank Center on Saturday, beginning at 7:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Tampa Bay-Buffalo game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Lightning are more likely to win, while the Sabres have a lower chance of victory."
For further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Lightning vs. Sabres predictions page.
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Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL game between the Lightning and Sabres 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Lightning a 62% chance of beating the Sabres.
According to our model, the Sabres (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Lightning vs. Sabres Odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lightning | Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+114) | +1.5 (-130) |
| Moneyline | -205 | +172 |
| Total | o6.5 (-115) | u6.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Lightning vs. Sabres Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Lightning vs. Sabres matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Lightning-Sabres Pick Get Dimers Pro Lightning vs. Sabres Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs. Sabres?
According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Sabres.
Our projections give Point an 8.2% chance of scoring the first goal at KeyBank Center, while the Lightning star is a 42.9% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 8.2% |
| Jake Guentzel | 7.8% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 6.9% |
Buffalo Sabres
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | 6.4% |
| Alex Tuch | 5.3% |
| JJ Peterka | 5.3% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 42.9% |
| Jake Guentzel | 41.1% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 35.6% |
Buffalo Sabres
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | 36.3% |
| JJ Peterka | 28.7% |
| Alex Tuch | 28.1% |
Lightning vs. Sabres Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's matchup between the Sabres and Lightning at KeyBank Center is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Buffalo Sabres
- Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: KeyBank Center
Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Lightning vs. Sabres matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Tampa Bay vs. Buffalo picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Sabres on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lightning vs. Sabres insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Keep up with the latest NHL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the latest projections for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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