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Lightning vs. Bruins Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Saturday's NHL Matchup [3/15/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins matchup.
The Boston Bruins and Tampa Bay Lightning will lock horns in the NHL at TD Garden on Saturday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Tampa Bay-Boston game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Lightning are more likely to win, while the Bruins have a lower chance of victory."
For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Lightning vs. Bruins predictions page.
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Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL game between the Lightning and Bruins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Lightning a 58% chance of defeating the Bruins.
According to our model, the Bruins (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 53% chance of going over.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 10:15PM, Mar 15
Moneyline
Over / Under
Puck Line
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Lightning vs. Bruins Odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lightning | Bruins |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+142) | +1.5 (-170) |
| Moneyline | -182 | +160 |
| Total | o5.5 (-115) | u5.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Lightning vs. Bruins Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Lightning vs. Bruins matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Lightning-Bruins Pick Get Dimers Pro Lightning vs. Bruins Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Lightning vs. Bruins?
According to our model, Boston's David Pastrnak is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Bruins.
Our projections give Pastrnak an 11.2% chance of scoring the first goal at TD Garden, while the Bruins star is a 50.9% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 7.6% |
| Brayden Point | 7.4% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 6.1% |
Boston Bruins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| David Pastrnak | 11.2% |
| Morgan Geekie | 6.4% |
| Elias Lindholm | 4.1% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 37.0% |
| Jake Guentzel | 36.0% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 31.3% |
Boston Bruins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| David Pastrnak | 50.9% |
| Morgan Geekie | 31.3% |
| Elias Lindholm | 23.2% |
Lightning vs. Bruins Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's action between the Bruins and Lightning at TD Garden is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Boston Bruins
- Date: Saturday, March 15, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: TD Garden
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Saturday's Lightning vs. Bruins matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Tampa Bay vs. Boston picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Bruins on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lightning vs. Bruins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Keep up with the latest NHL betting news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the latest predictions for the Stanley Cup title.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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