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Buccaneers vs. Falcons Prediction: Atlanta Predicted to Win After New Data Released for TNF Week 5 [2024]
The Atlanta Falcons will face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in NFL Week 5 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Thursday, beginning at 8:15PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Falcons as the most likely winner of the game.
"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Buccaneers-Falcons game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Falcons with a win probability of 57% and the Buccaneers with 43%."
Bucs vs. Falcons Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
The NFL Week 5 game between the Falcons and Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:15PM ET.
- Who: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons
- Date: Thursday, October 3, 2024
- Time: 8:15PM ET/5:15PM PT
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
- Merchandise: Buy Falcons and Buccaneers gear at Fanatics
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Buccaneers vs. Falcons matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Falcons vs. Buccaneers picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.
Buccaneers vs. Falcons Predictions
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NFL matchup between the Buccaneers and Falcons 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Falcons a 57% chance of defeating the Buccaneers in Week 5 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Falcons winning 22-21.
According to our model, the Buccaneers (+2.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 43.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
In addition to our Buccaneers vs. Falcons predictions, we've also prepared the following for this week's action:
Buccaneers vs. Falcons Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Buccaneers | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2.5 (-102) | -2.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +120 | -135 |
| Total | o43.5 (-110) | u43.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Buccaneers vs. Falcons Picks
Our model's biggest edge in the Buccaneers vs. Falcons matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Buccaneers vs. Falcons TD Scorers
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Buccaneers vs. Falcons?
According to our model, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is most likely to score the first touchdown in Buccaneers vs. Falcons.
Our projections give Robinson a 13.9% chance of getting in for six first at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB is a 52.9% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Chris Godwin | 9.4% |
| Mike Evans | 9.4% |
| Rachaad White | 7.5% |
Atlanta Falcons
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 13.9% |
| Drake London | 9.6% |
| Darnell Mooney | 6.7% |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Mike Evans | 40.4% |
| Chris Godwin | 39.7% |
| Bucky Irving | 33.5% |
Atlanta Falcons
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 52.9% |
| Drake London | 40.5% |
| Darnell Mooney | 30.0% |
Buccaneers vs Falcons Player Props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Buccaneers and Falcons. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Buccaneers-Falcons page now to access every player prop projection.
Buccaneers vs. Falcons Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Buccaneers' Baker Mayfield is projected to throw for more yards than the Falcons' Kirk Cousins.
Buccaneers Rushing
Bucky Irving, Rachaad White and Baker Mayfield are projected to be the leading rushers for the Buccaneers.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Bucky Irving | RB |
| Rachaad White | RB |
| Baker Mayfield | QB |
Falcons Rushing
Bijan Robinson, Tyler Allgeier and Kirk Cousins are expected to lead the Falcons in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | RB |
| Tyler Allgeier | RB |
| Kirk Cousins | QB |
Buccaneers Receiving
Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, Cade Otton, Rachaad White and Sterling Shepard are projected to top the receiving yards for the Buccaneers.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Chris Godwin | WR |
| Mike Evans | WR |
| Cade Otton | TE |
| Rachaad White | RB |
| Sterling Shepard | WR |
Falcons Receiving
Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Ray-Ray McCloud, Kyle Pitts and Bijan Robinson are projected to lead the Falcons in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Drake London | WR |
| Darnell Mooney | WR |
| Ray-Ray McCloud | WR |
| Kyle Pitts | TE |
| Bijan Robinson | RB |
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Conclusion
We predict the Falcons, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Buccaneers on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Buccaneers vs. Falcons insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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