Super Bowl: Predictive Analytics Suggest Philadelphia Eagles Are The Best Bet To Win Super Bowl LVII

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Written by Zachary Cohen
Super Bowl: Predictive Analytics Suggest Philadelphia Eagles Are The Best Bet To Win Super Bowl LVII

Many people jumped off the Philadelphia Eagles bandwagon late in the NFL regular season, but our predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, likes the team's chances of winning the biggest prize in all of sports, Super Bowl LVII. While our artificial intelligence gives the Kansas City Chiefs the highest probability of winning it all, you just can't beat the value of getting Jalen Hurts and co. at +550 odds. Keep reading to find out why the Eagles are a great bet to win a championship in head coach Nick Sirianni's second year with the team. Also, make sure you constantly come back to Dimers throughout the NFL Playoffs, as we have you covered with best bets, player props and the best sportsbook offers! The "Bet $5, Get $200 in site credit" offer from DraftKings Sportsbook is one of our favorites at the moment. 

 

2023 Super Bowl Winner Probabilities

NFL TEAM PROBABILITY
Kansas City Chiefs 20.6%
Philadelphia Eagles  16.9%
Buffalo Bills 16.7%
San Francisco 49ers  11.8%
Dallas Cowboys 8.2%
Cincinnati Bengals 6.8%
Los Angeles Chargers 4.5%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4.2%
Minnesota Vikings 3.6%
Baltimore Ravens 2.4%

Why The Philadelphia Eagles Will Win Super Bowl LVII

It's hard to find a team that's as balanced as the Eagles. Not only was Philadelphia third in the NFL in offensive DVOA, but the Eagles were also sixth in defensive DVOA. The Bills were the only other team in the league to finish inside the top 10 in both categories.

Philadelphia also enters the postseason with the advantage of having earned a first-round bye and home-field advantage throughout the course of the NFC playoffs. Considering how difficult it is to play at Lincoln Financial Field, it's hard not to love the Eagles' chances of doing something special over the next couple of weeks. 

Philadelphia's offense is as complete as they come, with Hurts being a legitimate MVP candidate after having thrown for 3,701 yards with 22 touchdowns and only six picks, while also adding another 760 yards and 13 touchdowns on the ground. He's the most dangerous dual-threat quarterback in football, and having AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert as his pass-catching weapons is downright unfair.

Also, while the Eagles turned over every stone looking to upgrade at the running back position this season, Miles Sanders is a very good option there. He rushed for 1,269 yards with 11 touchdowns this season, and he's plenty capable of rolling over opposing defenses when called upon. 

Having a whole suite of offensive weapon — in addition to Pro Football Focus' top-ranked offensive line — is what made this Eagles team unbeatable in the first half of the season, and it feels like people forgot how good they were when injuries started to pile up. But Philadelphia is relatively healthy entering the playoffs, and the team also has an extra week of rest to get right before the NFL Divisional Round. 

The Eagles also have the elite defense required to back up that offense. Philadelphia held opposing teams to 21 or fewer points in 11 of the 18 games it played this season. That's something you like to hear as a futures bettor, as there could be a game in which the Eagles offense doesn't show up.

While players like Hurts, Sanders, Brown and Smith are all capable of busting games, you're just as likely to get game-changing performances from Haason Reddick, Josh Sweat, Javon Hargrave, Darius Slay or T.J. Edwards. All of those players had big performances throughout the season, and we think that playing at home in the postseason is likely to bring the best out of them. 

The NFC also happens to be the weaker of the two conferences this season, and it's genuinely hard to see any team other than the Eagles or San Francisco 49ers representing the NFC in the Super Bowl. However, the 49ers are going to need to get there with Brock Purdy, Mr. Irrelevant in the 2022 NFL Draft, at quarterback. Purdy has played very well in relief of Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo this season, but will his play hold up when the heat is on? It's fair to have some doubts. 

As long as the Eagles simply make it to the Super Bowl at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona in February, their odds will allow you to guarantee a pretty big profit on this bet. If you weren't willing to let your bet on Philadelphia to win it all ride, you would have a pretty good opportunity to hedge your play by betting the team from the AFC. But that's not something we're necessarily advocating for.

We genuinely love this Eagles team, and we feel they have as good a shot as anyone. Now, let's back Philadelphia and hope that some of that 2018 Super Bowl magic rubs off on this group. The fanbase will certainly be trying to recreate some of those memories, and it's one of the best collections of fans on the planet. 

 
 
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Written by
Zachary Cohen

Zachary Cohen, a University of Wisconsin graduate, has written about betting and fantasy sports for prominent outlets like Covers, Sports Illustrated, Forbes Sports, Tennis Channel, and FOX Bet, with a strong focus on the NBA and college athletics.

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