Super Bowl LIX Same Game Parlay Picks: Chiefs vs. Eagles SGP for Sunday, February 9

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Reviewed by Nick Slade
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The rematch we've been waiting for. The Chiefs and Eagles go head-to-head once more for the Lombardi trophy and we are locked and loaded with our Same Game Parlay.

NFL Predictions, Same Game Parlay, Super Bowl LIX, NFL, Bills, Chiefs SGP
Same Game Parlay for Super Bowl LIX between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles

We're putting our projections to the test for our Super Bowl LIX Same Game Parlay when the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles battle it out for the Lombardi Trophy on Sunday, February 9 at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.

In a rematch of 2023's Super Bowl, Patrick Mahomes will be looking to make history while Jalen Hurts and his Eagles want retribution.

Every bet and insight featured in these parlays will be sourced directly from our Dimers Pro data, our all-encompassing subscription service. Dimers Pro features the best NFL bets, NFL player props, Super Bowl LIX predictions, parlay picks and NFL betting trends analyzed by our in-house cutting-edge predictive models.

+607 Chiefs-Eagles Same Game Parlay Picks

After simulating Sunday's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the picks that make up our Same Game Parlay in Chiefs vs. Eagles.

PLAYER
PROP
PROBABILITY/
PROJECTION
ODDS
Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)250+ Pass Yards257 yds-125
Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)Anytime TD Scorer48.6%+145
Jalen Hurts (Eagles)Anytime TD Scorer 50.5%-120

MORE: Super Bowl LIX: Chiefs vs. Eagles Full Betting Preview

Leg 1: Patrick Mahomes 250+ Passing Yards

The same two starting quarterbacks from this matchup two years ago will once again go toe-to-toe, with Patrick Mahomes chasing his fourth Lombardi Trophy and Jalen Hurts seeking redemption as he aims for his first. 

The addition of RB Saquon Barkley to the Eagles’ offense in 2024 has shifted Philadelphia’s approach this season, resulting in Hurts posting his lowest passing yardage average since 2021—just 193.5 yards per game. With the Eagles’ ground game thriving, a repeat of Hurts’ 304 passing yards from the 2023 Super Bowl seems unlikely. 

Mahomes has also seen a dip in passing production this season, recording his lowest yardage totals since his rookie year. Despite a string of injuries to key receivers, Andy Reid is unlikely to take the ball out of his star quarterback’s hands. The Chiefs’ offense will still run through the three-time Super Bowl MVP, and our model projects him to finish with 257 passing yards.

Leg 2: Kareem Hunt Anytime Touchdown Scorer

In an offense that has struggled with various injuries through the year, Kansas' Kareem Hunt has been a reliable man in red zone situations, scoring 9 TDs through the year, including in each of his last four games. Much of Philly's attention on defense will go towards Travis Kelce, but with Kansas unlikely to look for Mahomes for any designed red zone TD plays, if you see the ball within the 5-yard zone, Hunt is likely to be fed the ball, ranking as our most likely touchdown scorer by probability for the Chiefs according to our model.

Leg 3: Jalen Hurts Anytime Touchdown

Hurts has consistently been the value touchdown scorer for the Eagles in terms of odds this season when compared to his RB1 in Saquon Barkley - and that's once again true on Sunday night. The Philly QB actually scored more rushing touchdowns than Barkley in the regular season, and at odds of -120, it's worth taking on again. Hurts ranks as our second most likely touchdown scorer of the game with a 50.8% probability.

Dimers' NFL Betting Resources for the 2024-25 Season

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To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Nick Slade as part of our fact-checking process.
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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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