Steelers vs. Texans Week 4 Prediction and Odds - October 1, 2023

NFL Week 4 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the Pittsburgh Steelers take on the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium.

Dimers' top betting picks for Steelers vs. Texans, plus our score prediction, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured below.

This Pittsburgh vs. Houston betting analysis is brought to you by Bet365, which has an outstanding Bet $1, Get $365 in Bonus Bets offer for new users.

Who Will Win: Steelers vs. Texans

Using state-of-the-art computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Steelers-Texans NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' renowned predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Steelers a 57% chance of winning against the Texans in Week 4 of the NFL season.

More: Betting Picks for Steelers vs. Texans

Steelers vs. Texans Odds

• Spread: Texans +3 (-110), Steelers -3 (+100)
• Moneyline: Texans +136, Steelers -148
• Total: Over/Under 41 (-110/-110)

The Texans are +3 underdogs versus the Steelers, with -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored Steelers (-3) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at +100.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Texans at +136, which means you can bet $100 to profit $136, earning a total payout of $236, if they win.

Elsewhere, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Steelers at -148, where you can risk $148 to win $100, for a total payout of $248, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under sits at 41 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out all of the sportsbooks that are available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Texans (+3) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 41 points has a 55% chance of going Over.

More: Free Prop Picks

Best Bets: Steelers vs. Texans

• Spread: Texans +3 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook (58% probability) 🔥
• Moneyline: Texans @ +136 via DraftKings Sportsbook (0.2% edge)
• Total: Over 41 @ -110 via PointsBet (55% probability)

If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Dimers' best bets today across any sport.

Our best bets are based on complex simulations and gambling expertise to help you make smarter decisions with your state's legal sportsbooks.

While the Steelers are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Texans moneyline is the best option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers.com is crucial to being profitable in the long run.

Steelers vs. Texans Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Pittsburgh vs. Houston at NRG Stadium in Week 4 has the Steelers winning 22-20.

Click or tap on See Matchup to find out more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Steelers-Texans game in Week 4, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live win probabilities.

Steelers vs. Texans Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Steelers vs. Texans? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Steelers and Texans, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Pittsburgh's Najee Harris is most likely to score the first TD in Steelers vs. Texans.

DimersBOT gives Harris a 12.6% chance of scoring the first TD at NRG Stadium, while the Steelers RB is a 47.1% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Pittsburgh Steelers

• Najee Harris: 12.6% probability
• George Pickens: 9.9% probability
• Calvin Austin: 7.6% probability
• Pat Freiermuth: 6.7% probability
• Jaylen Warren: 6.3% probability

Houston Texans

• Dameon Pierce: 8.4% probability
• Nico Collins: 8.3% probability
• Tank Dell: 6.2% probability
• Devin Singletary: 6.0% probability
• Robert Woods: 5.5% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Pittsburgh Steelers

• Najee Harris: 47.1% probability
• George Pickens: 38.3% probability
• Calvin Austin: 31.5% probability
• Jaylen Warren: 26.6% probability
• Pat Freiermuth: 26.2% probability

Houston Texans

• Dameon Pierce: 35.6% probability
• Nico Collins: 34.8% probability
• Devin Singletary: 26.4% probability
• Tank Dell: 26.0% probability
• Robert Woods: 24.5% probability

Steelers-Texans Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Kenny Pickett is projected for 211 passing yards, while the Texans' C.J. Stroud is expected to throw for 203 yards.

Steelers Starting QB

• Kenny Pickett: 211 projected yards

Texans Starting QB

• C.J. Stroud: 203 projected yards

Steelers Rushing

• Najee Harris: 56 projected yards
• Jaylen Warren: 21 projected yards
• Kenny Pickett: 16 projected yards

Texans Rushing

• Dameon Pierce: 56 projected yards
• Devin Singletary: 27 projected yards
• C.J. Stroud: 16 projected yards

Steelers Receiving

• George Pickens: 58 projected yards
• Pat Freiermuth: 35 projected yards
• Calvin Austin: 32 projected yards
• Allen Robinson: 25 projected yards
• Jaylen Warren: 23 projected yards

Texans Receiving

• Tank Dell: 48 projected yards
• Nico Collins: 48 projected yards
• Robert Woods: 37 projected yards
• Dalton Schultz: 26 projected yards
• Brevin Jordan: 16 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep checking this article for any changes to our betting analysis ahead of Steelers vs. Texans on Sunday October 1, 2023.

Steelers vs. Texans 2023

The NFL Week 4 matchup between the Texans and Steelers at NRG Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Houston Texans
• Date: Sunday October 1, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: NRG Stadium

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Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions with Dimers

Dimers' picks are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While our Steelers vs. Texans predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

What NFL Games Are on Today?

Now you've got the 411 on Steelers vs. Texans, take a look at the best coverage for all NFL games via our NFL picks and predictions. There you can find probabilities and odds, as well as our best bets for each and every NFL matchup. Want a pick for the Spread? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good!

In addition to our leading NFL predictions, Dimers also offers the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the best odds available every day of the NFL season.