Steelers vs. Bills Week 5 Prediction and Odds - Oct 9, 2022

The Buffalo Bills take on the Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL Week 5 action at Highmark Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Steelers vs. Bills, as well as game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are detailed in this article.

Today's Pittsburgh vs. Buffalo betting analysis is proudly sponsored by FanDuel Sportsbook, which is currently offering an outstanding No Sweat First Bet promo for new users.

Who will win Steelers vs. Bills?

Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Steelers-Bills NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' popular predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Bills an 89% chance of beating the Steelers in Week 5 of the NFL season.

More: Steelers vs. Bills Simulated 10K Times

Steelers vs. Bills Week 5 Odds

• Spread: Bills -14 (-107), Steelers +14 (-107)
• Moneyline: Bills -750, Steelers +700
• Total: Over/Under 44.5 (-105/-107)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Bills are currently -14 favorites against the Steelers, with -107 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Steelers (+14) to cover the spread, PointsBet also has the best odds currently on offer at -107.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bills at -750. That means you can risk $750 to win $100, for a total payout of $850, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Steelers at +700, where you can put down $100 to profit $700, earning a total payout of $800, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 44.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while PointsBet currently has the best odds for the Under at -107.

As always, check out all the legal sportbooks that are available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Steelers (+14) are a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point Over/Under is a 52% chance of going Over.

More: Free Prop Picks

Best Bets for Steelers vs. Bills

• Spread: Steelers +14 @ -107 via PointsBet (53% probability)
• Moneyline: Bills @ -750 via DraftKings Sportsbook (89% probability)
• Total: Over 44.5 @ -105 via FanDuel Sportsbook (52% probability)

Dimers' best bets are based on world-class modeling and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible plays 24/7/365.

Steelers vs. Bills Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Pittsburgh vs. Buffalo at Highmark Stadium in Week 5 has the Bills winning 28-15.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full coverage of this week's Steelers-Bills matchup in Week 5, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live scores.

Steelers vs. Bills Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Steelers vs. Bills? The latest data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Steelers and Bills, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Buffalo's Stefon Diggs is most likely to score the first touchdown in Steelers vs. Bills.

DimersBOT gives Diggs a 14.4% chance of scoring the first TD at Highmark Stadium, while the Bills WR is a 55.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Pittsburgh Steelers

• Najee Harris: 9.1% probability
• Pat Freiermuth: 6.8% probability
• Diontae Johnson: 5.5% probability
• George Pickens: 4.4% probability
• Chase Claypool: 3.7% probability

Buffalo Bills

• Stefon Diggs: 14.4% probability
• Gabe Davis: 8.8% probability
• Devin Singletary: 7.6% probability
• Josh Allen: 7.4% probability
• Zack Moss: 7.2% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Pittsburgh Steelers

• Najee Harris: 41.3% probability
• Pat Freiermuth: 31.4% probability
• Diontae Johnson: 27.4% probability
• George Pickens: 23.2% probability
• Chase Claypool: 19.5% probability

Buffalo Bills

• Stefon Diggs: 55.4% probability
• Gabe Davis: 39.1% probability
• Devin Singletary: 34.0% probability
• Josh Allen: 32.4% probability
• Zack Moss: 32.1% probability

Steelers-Bills Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Kenny Pickett is projected for 235 passing yards, while the Bills' Josh Allen is expected to throw for a whopping 281 yards.

Steelers Starting QB

• Kenny Pickett: 235 projected yards

Bills Starting QB

• Josh Allen: 281 projected yards

Steelers Rushing

• Najee Harris: 58 projected yards
• Kenny Pickett: 23 projected yards
• Jaylen Warren: 16 projected yards

Bills Rushing

• Devin Singletary: 47 projected yards
• Josh Allen: 44 projected yards
• Zack Moss: 17 projected yards

Steelers Receiving

• Diontae Johnson: 53 projected yards
• Pat Freiermuth: 48 projected yards
• George Pickens: 40 projected yards
• Chase Claypool: 31 projected yards
• Najee Harris: 23 projected yards

Bills Receiving

• Stefon Diggs: 87 projected yards
• Gabe Davis: 79 projected yards
• Isaiah McKenzie: 31 projected yards
• Quintin Morris: 30 projected yards
• Devin Singletary: 22 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates regularly, so refresh this article for any changes to our betting insights ahead of Steelers vs. Bills on Sunday October 9, 2022.

Steelers vs. Bills 2022

The NFL Week 5 game between the Bills and Steelers at Highmark Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills
• Date: Sunday October 9, 2022
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: Highmark Stadium

Ready to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NFL? We've listed the best available sign-up offers for each legal betting state.

What other NFL games are on today?

The Steelers and Bills aren't the only two NFL teams you can bet on. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and top bets for every single NFL game via our NFL Predictions section.

Not only do we provide with you top-notch predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Spread, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Check it out now!