Star Running Back Revealed as Most Likely Anytime Touchdown Scorer for Thanksgiving NFL Games

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Our experts have simulated every Thanksgiving game to find the best TD scorer predictions.

David Montgomery Thanksgiving 2024.
Detroit Lions running back David Montgomery stands out as the most likely anytime touchdown scorer today.

The NFL’s Thanksgiving slate is a cherished tradition, and this year it features three marquee matchups that promise plenty of action and intrigue. 

While all six teams boast dynamic offensive weapons, Detroit Lions running back David Montgomery stands out as the most likely anytime touchdown scorer, according to Dimers’ advanced projections.

Reflecting on his star running back, Lions HC Dan Campbell recently stated, "I think he's rare, I think we're fortunate to have him, and I can tell you this, the O-line loves blocking for that guy and anybody that plays with him."

Montgomery, who has scored 11 touchdowns in 11 games this season, holds an impressive 63.3% probability to score during Thursday’s game against the Chicago Bears. 

With odds of -175 at Bet365, Montgomery will be a popular bet across the country to get in for six today.


To make the most of these odds, check out the latest Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" that unlocks the choice of two special offers!

David Montgomery’s Projected Stats for Thanksgiving Game

David Montgomery is projected to rush for 61 yards against the Bears, continuing his consistent contributions to the Lions’ offense. Interestingly, teammate Jahmyr Gibbs is projected to slightly edge Montgomery with 62 rushing yards, showcasing Detroit’s formidable ground game.

For those looking to dive deeper into the Lions’ offensive projections, including Jared Goff’s passing yards and Amon-Ra St. Brown’s receiving numbers, be sure to explore our detailed Bears-Lionsmatch page.

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions for Thanksgiving 2024

Thanksgiving football is synonymous with unforgettable plays and star performances, and this year’s slate is no different. 

David Montgomery leads all players as the most likely anytime touchdown scorer, with several other stars poised to shine across the day’s three matchups.

Check out the two most likely scorers from each team below:

Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions

  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Ford Field
  • Teams: Bears vs. Lions
  • Odds: Lions -10 | 48.5 O/U | Bears +400, Lions -500
  • Win Probabilities: Bears 20%, Lions 80%

David Montgomery leads the Lions with a 63.3% touchdown probability, while Roschon Johnson represents the Bears' top scoring threat at 34.7%.

Player (Team)
Probability
Odds
Roschon Johnson (Bears)
34.7%
+160
D’Andre Swift (Bears)
33.3%
+160
David Montgomery (Lions)
63.3%
-175
Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions)
53.8%
-163

New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys

  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Venue: AT&T Stadium
  • Teams: Giants vs. Cowboys
  • Odds: Cowboys -3.5 | 37 O/U | Giants +170, Cowboys -185
  • Win Probabilities: Giants 36%, Cowboys 64%

Tyrone Tracy is the Giants’ top touchdown scorer with a 42.9% probability, while CeeDee Lamb leads the Cowboys with a 36.4% chance of finding the end zone.

Player (Team)
Probability
Odds
Tyrone Tracy (Giants)
42.9%
+150
Malik Nabers (Giants)
32.9%
+225
CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys)
36.4%
+150
Rico Dowdle (Cowboys)
34.9%
+110
CeeDee Lamb Thanksgiving 2024.
CeeDee Lamb is one of the most likely players to score a touchdown on Thanksgiving, 2024.

Miami Dolphins vs. Green Bay Packers

  • Time: 8:20 PM ET
  • Venue: Lambeau Field
  • Teams: Dolphins vs. Packers
  • Odds: Packers -3 | 47 O/U | Dolphins +152, Packers -175
  • Win Probabilities: Dolphins 39%, Packers 61%

Josh Jacobs is the Packers’ top scoring threat at 50.7%, while De’Von Achane leads the Dolphins with a 48.7% touchdown probability.

Player (Team)
Probability
Odds
De'Von Achane (Dolphins)
48.7%
-110
Jonnu Smith (Dolphins)
34.9%
+260
Josh Jacobs (Packers)
50.7%
-138
Jayden Reed (Packers)
34.1%
+125
Josh Jacobs Thanksgiving 2024.
Josh Jacobs is one of the most likely players to score a touchdown on Thanksgiving, 2024.

Conclusion

Thanksgiving football promises plenty of drama and touchdowns, and David Montgomery’s consistent scoring ability makes him the headline player to watch in the Lions’ matchup against the Bears. 

With star contributors like Jahmyr Gibbs, Tyrone Tracy, CeeDee Lamb, and Josh Jacobs rounding out the slate, fans and bettors alike can look forward to a thrilling day of NFL action.

Update (11/28/24, 5:45 pm): New Betting Deals Have Been Announced for Thanksgiving!

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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