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Saturday College Football: Player Props, Touchdown Scorers and Value Bets on October 15, 2022
With NCAA Football action now well underway, we have identified over 200 different player prop bets for College Football games across the country on Saturday October 15, 2022. Below is just a sample of the bets we have uncovered with the largest edges, and there are plenty more where they came from!
An 'edge' is when our predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, thinks there is a bigger chance of something happening than the sportsbooks' odds would suggest.
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Let's use the example below, for Will Mallory. The sportsbooks have set his receiving yards line at 55.5. Our model has run over 10,000 simulations on the Miami Florida vs. Virginia Tech game and has Miami winning it 28 - 22.
As part of those simulations, DimersBOT runs individual player performances, too. In this case the results suggest there's an 87.4% probability that Mallory doesn't get to 55.5 receiving yards - giving us a 33.9% edge vs. the -115 odds the sportsbooks will give us on his Under - very generous!
We think his line should be much lower, somewhere around 48.5, and equating to odds of around -150, not the very appealing -115 we can currently get over at DraftKings.
To access every one of the 200-plus player props identified for Saturday's College Football slate, click here and help yourself to loads of value.
RELATED: Get player props for every CFB game this weekend
Tap on the image above and check out every player prop we have identified for this week's college football action. Find yourself a betting edge against your sportsbook!
What is DimersBOT?
A heavyweight of the sports betting world, DimersBOT is a sophisticated gambling robot sent back through time to change the future for one lucky generation of sports bettors, us! It runs over 10,000 sports betting simulations of every major pro and college sport on the planet, including the College Football, and continually updates based on everything from weather, to question marks over a player's availability.
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Watch the latest episode of College Football Prop or Chop!
The best betting strategy: Expected Value (+EV)
Positive Expected Value (+EV) wagering is absolutely fundamental to becoming a successful sports bettor and is something that most recreational bettors, also known as '"the public", don’t fully understand. DimersBOT, on the other hand, is a sophisticated gambling robot that does the research for you, listing all its +EV bets on the Quick Picks and Prop Bets pages free of charge.
Appreciating the importance of +EV, DimersBOT evaluates the lines and probabilities set by the oddsmakers (or, by extension, the sportsbooks) the second they are available, to assess whether a bet is value (+EV) or not (-EV).
The most successful CFB bettors make it their priority to identify this expected value, or +EV, as early in the week as possible. Because, by the time Thursday rolls around, the sportsbooks have almost always adjusted their lines based on the volume of bets coming for either side. In really efficient markets like the NFL and NBA, positive EV bets, aka "value bets", are usually only available for a few hours, before those bettors known as "sharps" snap them up and move the line.
However, that won't stop us helping the common man and College Football is a great place to bet, with value pretty much everywhere. With the sheer volume of games on offer, using a tool like DimersBOT and its Prop Bets page is an absolute godsend.
What is a prop bet?
Short for proposition, a prop bet is a wager based on the occurrences or non-occurrences of events during a sporting event. These situations may have no bearing on the game's outcome or even the final score.
Props typically include individual players or teams reaching specific milestones. These milestones may include the number of yards a quarterback will throw for in CFB or NFL, whether a player will score a goal in the NHL, the number of hits a batter will have in Major League Baseball, or the number of points, rebounds and/or assists a player will get in the NBA or College Hoops.
The difference between a suggested bet and a prediction
A suggested bet is where we have matched DimersBOT's predictions vs. the sportsbooks odds and identified an edge, or +EV. The bigger the edge, the better. Tread carefully, though, as edges - or positive expected value - are usually more prevalent on the underdog, as the oddsmakers are far happier to take them on, rather than take on the favorite by giving you favorable odds.
A prediction is, well, exactly that - a prediction. DimersBOT can help us predict what will happen in thousands of different sports and events each and every year, but that doesn't mean we should necessarily bet them all because the key to profitable long-term betting is finding an edge, or +EV.
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