San Francisco 49ers vs. Washington Commanders Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 17 [2023]

The Washington Commanders and San Francisco 49ers are scheduled to meet in Week 17 of the NFL season at FedExField on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth betting preview for this week's 49ers vs. Commanders matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

49ers vs. Commanders Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used advanced machine learning and data analysis to simulate the result of Sunday's NFL game between the 49ers and Commanders 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NFL predictions.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the 49ers an 81% chance of beating the Commanders in Week 17 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the 49ers winning 29-19.

According to our model, the Commanders (+13) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 50 points has a 53% chance of going under.

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49ers vs. Commanders Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	49ers	Commanders
Spread	-13 (-110)	+13 (-110)
Moneyline	-750	+575
Total	o50 (-110)	u50 (-110)

• The Commanders are currently +13 underdogs versus the 49ers, with -110 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
• For the favored 49ers (-13) to cover the spread, BetMGM also has the best odds currently on offer at -110.
• BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Commanders at +575, which means you can bet $100 to profit $575, earning a total payout of $675, if they win.
• Meanwhile, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the 49ers at -750, where you can risk $750 to win $100 for a total payout of $850 if they come out on top.
• The Over/Under sits at 50 with DraftKings, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, check out all the online sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

49ers vs. Commanders Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have found the best betting picks for this game:

Bet Type	Our Pick	Best Odds
Spread	Commanders +13	-110
Moneyline	Commanders	+575 🔥
Total	Under 50	-110

Any time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Dimers' best bets of the day across any sport.

While the 49ers are more likely to win the game, taking the Commanders moneyline is the best option due to the 4.1% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.

Our best NFL bets are based on detailed modeling and betting expertise to bring you the best possible plays every week of the season.

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49ers vs. Commanders TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in 49ers vs. Commanders?

According to our model, San Francisco's Christian McCaffrey is most likely to score the first TD in 49ers vs. Commanders.

Our projections give McCaffrey a 23.8% chance of scoring the first TD at FedExField, while the 49ers RB is a 78.1% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

San Francisco 49ers

Player	First TD Probability
Christian McCaffrey	23.8%
Brandon Aiyuk	10.6%
Deebo Samuel	10.0%
George Kittle	6.9%
Elijah Mitchell	5.2%

Washington Commanders

Player	First TD Probability
Brian Robinson	7.2%
Antonio Gibson	5.5%
Terry McLaurin	5.5%
Curtis Samuel	4.4%
Jahan Dotson	4.2%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

San Francisco 49ers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Christian McCaffrey	78.1%
Brandon Aiyuk	47.2%
Deebo Samuel	45.0%
George Kittle	32.4%
Elijah Mitchell	25.3%

Washington Commanders

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Brian Robinson	34.4%
Terry McLaurin	28.1%
Antonio Gibson	27.8%
Curtis Samuel	23.2%
Jahan Dotson	22.0%

49ers vs Commanders Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the 49ers and Commanders, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

49ers vs. Commanders Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the 49ers' Brock Purdy is projected to have a big game with 272 passing yards. The Commanders' Jacoby Brissett is expected to throw for 238 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Brock Purdy (SF)	272 yds
Jacoby Brissett (WAS)	238 yds

49ers Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Christian McCaffrey	91 yds
Elijah Mitchell	15 yds
Deebo Samuel	13 yds

Commanders Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Brian Robinson	48 yds
Jacoby Brissett	20 yds
Antonio Gibson	15 yds

49ers Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Brandon Aiyuk	71 yds
Deebo Samuel	56 yds
George Kittle	52 yds
Christian McCaffrey	35 yds
Jauan Jennings	19 yds

Commanders Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Terry McLaurin	66 yds
Curtis Samuel	37 yds
Jahan Dotson	34 yds
Antonio Gibson	29 yds
Logan Thomas	25 yds

Don't forget, our model updates regularly, so check this article for the latest betting analysis ahead of the 49ers vs. Commanders on Sunday December 31, 2023.

49ers vs. Commanders Game Information

The NFL Week 17 action between the Commanders and 49ers at FedExField is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: San Francisco 49ers vs. Washington Commanders
• Date: Sunday December 31, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: FedExField

Our full coverage of 49ers vs. Commanders includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on 49ers vs. Commanders

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Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on 49ers vs. Commanders Week 14 contest, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

Our predictions are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While our 49ers vs. Commanders picks can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.

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