San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: Mets Expected to Win Tight Contest After New Data Released for Saturday's MLB Game [6/15/2024]

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Written by Dave Garofolo
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: Mets Expected to Win Tight Contest After New Data Released for Saturday's MLB Game [6/15/2024]

The New York Mets and San Diego Padres will meet in MLB action at Citi Field on Saturday, starting at 4:10PM ET.

Jose Quintana (1-5, 5.29 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Mets, while the Padres have opted for Adam Mazur (0-1, 9.00 ERA).

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers.com’s predictive MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) has selected the NY Mets Mets as the most likely winner of the game.

“We have used the latest data to simulate the outcome of Saturday's Padres-Mets game 10,000 times,” said Dimers.com data analyst Greg Butyn. “Factoring in all recent updates and numerous additional inputs, we forecast a 54% win probability for the Mets versus 46% for the Padres.”

Padres vs. Mets Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's MLB action between the Mets and Padres at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 4:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Padres vs. Mets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any the Mets vs. Padres picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Padres vs. Mets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line

We have used innovative machine learning and statistical analysis to simulate the outcome of Saturday's MLB game between the Padres and Mets 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of MLB predictions.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Mets a 54% chance of defeating the Padres.

According to our model, the Padres (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

 

Padres vs. Mets Odds [6/15/2024]

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Padres Mets
Run Line +1.5 (-185) -1.5 (+158)
Moneyline +116 -135
Total o8.5 (-108) u8.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Padres vs. Mets Picks

The strongest edge our model has found in this Padres vs. Mets matchup is on the run line. Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal MLB best bets in each major market, every day of the season.

Full access to our picks is available via Dimers Pro.

Plus, gain access to all of today's bets, expert analysis, real-time updates, and exclusive insights, including unlimited best bets, props, trends, and customizable parlays.

Calling Our Shot: Free MLB Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest free picks featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Mets, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Padres on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Padres vs. Mets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Stay informed with the most recent MLB betting news and our analytics-driven MLB picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our World Series odds give you the most up-to-date numbers and the best available odds on the World Series, American League, National League, and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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