TNF Same Game Parlay Picks: Vikings vs. Rams SGP for Thursday Night Football

Thursday Night Football kicks off Week 8 in the NFL and we've got a +625 Same Game Parlay for the Minnesota Vikings vs. Los Angeles Rams game to kickoff the Week 8 NFL schedule.

The Vikings look to rebound from their first loss of the season, while the Rams are in limbo between tearing it all down or making one last push with this roster. Both teams welcome back injured players, with TE T.J. Hockenson set to return for the Vikings and WR Cooper Kupp, who's been the subject of trade rumors, coming back for the Rams.

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+625 Minnesota Vikings vs. Los Angeles Rams Same Game Parlay Picks

After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the picks that make up our Same Game Parlay in Vikings vs. Ramson Primetime, Thursday Night Football.

MORE: Minnesota Vikings vs. Los Angeles Rams Full Game Betting Preview

Leg 1: Kyren Williams Over 74.5 Rush Yards (-110)

First up is the Rams' workhorse RB, Kyren Williams to clear his rushing line of 74.5 yards.

He's cleared this mark in four-straight games, with at least 19 carries in each of them. This offense has shifted to a more run-heavy approach since Cooper Kupp went down in Week 2 and while he's back tonight, Williams should still get his looks based on our model's projections.

The Vikings have a solid defense, but have given up two 100-yard rushing games this season, to Jahmyr Gibbs of the Lions and Jordan Mason of the 49ers. The backs they've held under have been Cam Akers, Devin Singletary, Josh Jacobs and Breece Hall. Williams fits the fold of the former two and our model is projecting him for 88 rushing yards tonight with a 62.0% probability to go over 74.5.

Leg 2: Jordan Addison Over 43.5 Rec Yards (-115)

Our second leg is on Vikings WR2 Jordan Addison to go over his 43.5 receiving yards lines. 

In four games played, Addison has caught 3 balls each time and gone over this number twice. He's had a completion of 25+ yards in three games this year, so we could get this done in just two catches.

T.J. Hockenson looks ready to return which could open up the field more for Addison and the Rams will likely be busy trying to contain Justin Jefferson as much as possible.

The Rams have allowed a secondary pass-catcher to hit this mark in all but one game, the Raiders in Week 1. Our model projects Addison for 53.8 receiving yards tonight with a 59.7% probability to go over.

Leg 3: Aaron jones Anytime TD Scorer (-115)

As always, we close out with our TD prop pick, and tonight's is on Vikings RB Aaron Jones to punch his way in for a score.

Jones has three touchdowns this year, which could be more if he didn't exit the London game in Week 5 early.

Jones has great volume with 17+ touches in 3 of his last 4 games and 25+ in two of them. Inside the red zone, he's had 22 rush attempts and 9 targets, with 2/3 of his scores coming from inside the 20, and half of those touches have come from inside the 10. When the Vikings get close to the goal-line, it's Jones' territory.

Our model projects Jones with a 56.0% TD probability, the second highest in this game behind only Kyren Williams, who's in the -200 range, so we're also getting a little edge from a value standpoint as well.

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