Same Game Parlay Picks: Steelers vs. Cowboys SGP for Sunday Night Football

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Reviewed by Nick Slade
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Same Game Parlay, Sunday Night Football, NFL, Steelers, Cowboys
Same Game Parlay, Sunday Night Football, NFL, Steelers, Cowboys

After Thursday's +750 cash, we're back for more on with tonight's Sunday Night Football Primetime Same Game Parlay for the Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Dallas Cowboys game to kickoff the Week 5 NFL schedule.

The Cowboys will be without a number of playmakers on both sides of the ball as the Steelers look to improve to 4-1 on the year and stay atop the AFC North.

Clocking in at +590 odds (and boostable to +775), every bet and insight featured in these parlays will be source directly from our Dimers Prodata, our all-encompassing subscription service. Available for less than $1/day, Dimers Pro features the best NFL bets, NFL player props, Super Bowl LIX predictions, parlay picks and NFL betting trends analyzed by our in-house cutting-edge predictive models.


+590 Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Dallas Cowboys Same Game Parlay Picks

After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the picks that make up our Same Game Parlay in Steelers vs. Cowboyson Primetime, Sunday Night Football.

PLAYER
PROP
PROBABILITY/
PROJECTION
ODDS
Justin Fields (Steelers)Over 46.5 Rush Yds
51.4 Rec Yds
-113
Rico Dowdle (Cowboys)Over 13.5 Rec Yds
17.2 Rec Yds
-113
CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys)Anytime TD Scorer
43.2%
+110


MORE: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Dallas Cowboys Full Betting Preview

Leg 1: Justin Fields Over 46.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

We'll start with one of our higher probability props in this game and take Steelers QB Justin Fields to rush for over 46.5 yards vs. the Cowboys defense that gave up 87 rushing yards to Lamar Jackson under center in Week 3.

Volume will likely be key for Fields, though he could break a long run against a Cowboys defense susceptible to big plays, as both times he cleared 10 carries, he hit this mark easily

Our model gives Fields a 57.1% probability to go over his line with a projection of 51.2 yards.

Leg 2: Rico Dowdle Over 13.5 Receiving Yards (-113)

The RB receiving yards came through for us on Thursday and we're going back to it with a play that's hit in 3/4 games for our guy so far.

Rico Dowdle is as close to an RB1 in the Cowboys offense as you'll get, seeing 34 carries and 12 targets to Ezekiel Elliott's 24 carries and 8 targets. Dowdle's seen 5+ targets in two games so far, eclipsing this mark easily in those with 24 and 29 yards, and cleared this mark on his lone target and catch with 15 yards last week. He hit this with an 18 yard catch and run in Week 3 as well.

We project Dowdle for 17.2 receiving yards against the Steelers, who have allowed a RB to hit this mark in 3/4 games this season.

Leg 3: CeeDee Lamb Anytime TD Scorer (+110)

We close it out as always with a TD prop, our highest for the Cowboys in this game.

CeeDee Lamb is the Cowboys No. 1 option in the passing game, and will be even more so (if that's possible) this week, with Brandin Cooks hitting IR. The Cowboys receiving options behind CeeDee are thin, with TE Jake Ferguson and a corps of talented, yet inexperienced wideouts.

The Cowboys will feed CeeDee, who's scored a pair of TDs this season and gets a 43.2% TD probability from our model in this game.

 

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To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Nick Slade as part of our fact-checking process.
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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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