Saints vs. Falcons Week 1 Prediction and Odds - Sep 11, 2022

The Atlanta Falcons square off with the New Orleans Saints in NFL Week 1 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' best betting picks for Saints vs. Falcons, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured in this article.

This New Orleans vs. Atlanta betting analysis is proudly sponsored by FanDuel Sportsbook, which has an awesome Bet $5, Get $150 offer for new customers.

Who will win Saints vs. Falcons?

Using cutting-edge machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Saints-Falcons NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Saints a 72% chance of winning against the Falcons in Week 1 of the NFL season.

More: Full Betting Analysis for Saints vs. Falcons

Saints vs. Falcons Game Odds

• Spread: Falcons +5.5 (-105), Saints -5.5 (-107)
• Moneyline: Falcons +210, Saints -238
• Total: Over/Under 43.5 (-107/-105)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Falcons are +5.5 underdogs versus the Saints, with -105 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored Saints (-5.5) to cover the spread, PointsBet has the best odds currently on offer at -107.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Falcons at +210. That means you can bet $100 to profit $210, earning a total payout of $310, if they win.

Elsewhere, Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Saints at -238, where you can risk $238 to win $100, for a total payout of $338, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 43.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -107, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at -105.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the bookies have got it right and both the Saints and Falcons are a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 43.5 points is a 53% chance of going Under.

More: Free Prop Picks

Best Bets for Saints vs. Falcons

• Spread: Falcons +5.5 @ -105 via DraftKings Sportsbook (50% probability)
• Moneyline: Saints @ -238 via Caesars Sportsbook (72% probability)
• Total: Under 43.5 @ -105 via BetMGM (53% probability)

Our best bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling expertise to serve you the best possible plays 24/7.

Saints vs. Falcons Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for New Orleans vs. Atlanta at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 1 has the Saints winning 24-18.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Saints-Falcons matchup in Week 1, including pregame predictions, free betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Saints vs. Falcons Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Saints vs. Falcons? The latest data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Saints and Falcons, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, New Orleans' Alvin Kamara is most likely to score the first TD in Saints vs. Falcons.

DimersBOT gives Kamara a 12.2% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Saints RB is a 47.6% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

New Orleans Saints

• Alvin Kamara: 12.2% probability
• Jarvis Landry: 7.6% probability
• Michael Thomas: 6.8% probability
• Chris Olave: 5.3% probability
• Taysom Hill: 4.7% probability

Atlanta Falcons

• Cordarrelle Patterson: 7.9% probability
• Kyle Pitts: 5.9% probability
• Drake London: 5.3% probability
• Bryan Edwards: 5.0% probability
• Marcus Mariota: 4.5% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

New Orleans Saints

• Alvin Kamara: 47.6% probability
• Jarvis Landry: 32.1% probability
• Michael Thomas: 29.3% probability
• Chris Olave: 23.7% probability
• Taysom Hill: 21.2% probability

Atlanta Falcons

• Cordarrelle Patterson: 33.9% probability
• Kyle Pitts: 26.7% probability
• Drake London: 24.9% probability
• Bryan Edwards: 22.6% probability
• Marcus Mariota: 20.7% probability

Saints-Falcons Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Saints' Jameis Winston is projected to have a big game with 263 passing yards. The Falcons' Marcus Mariota is expected to throw for 222 yards.

Saints Starting QB

• Jameis Winston: 263 projected yards

Falcons Starting QB

• Marcus Mariota: 222 projected yards

Saints Rushing

• Alvin Kamara: 66 projected yards
• Mark Ingram: 35 projected yards
• Tony Jones: 9 projected yards

Falcons Rushing

• Cordarrelle Patterson: 40 projected yards
• Marcus Mariota: 36 projected yards
• Tyler Allgeier: 29 projected yards

Saints Receiving

• Michael Thomas: 61 projected yards
• Jarvis Landry: 46 projected yards
• Chris Olave: 44 projected yards
• Alvin Kamara: 36 projected yards
• Adam Trautman: 22 projected yards

Falcons Receiving

• Kyle Pitts: 67 projected yards
• Drake London: 52 projected yards
• Bryan Edwards: 50 projected yards
• Cordarrelle Patterson: 25 projected yards
• Olamide Zaccheaus: 19 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates often, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis ahead of Saints vs. Falcons on Sunday September 11, 2022.

Saints vs. Falcons 2022

The NFL Week 1 game between the Falcons and Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons
• Date: Sunday September 11, 2022
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

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