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Saints vs. Browns Week 16 Prediction and Odds - Dec 24, 2022

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Saints vs. Browns Week 16 Prediction and Odds - Dec 24, 2022

The Cleveland Browns square off with the New Orleans Saints in NFL Week 16 action at FirstEnergy Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers' best betting picks for Saints vs. Browns, as well as our score prediction, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured below.

 

Who will win Saints vs. Browns?

Based on cutting-edge machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Saturday's Saints-Browns NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Browns a 66% chance of winning against the Saints in Week 16 of the NFL season.

More: Saints vs. Browns Simulated 10K Times

Saints vs. Browns Week 16 Odds

  • Spread: Browns -3.5 (+100), Saints +3.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Browns -175, Saints +156
  • Total: Over/Under 32 (-107/-107)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Browns are -3.5 favorites versus the Saints, with +100 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Saints (+3.5) to cover the spread, PointsBet has the best odds currently on offer at -115.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Browns at -175, which means you can risk $175 to win $100, for a total payout of $275, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Saints at +156, where you can bet $100 to profit $156, earning a total payout of $256, if they win.

The Over/Under sits at 32 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -107, as well as the best odds for the Under at -107.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Saints (+3.5) are a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 32 points is a 55% chance of going Over.

More: Live Scores for All Major Sports

Best Bets for Saints vs. Browns

  • Spread: Saints +3.5 @ -115 via PointsBet (56% probability)
  • Moneyline: Browns @ -175 via BetMGM (66% probability)
  • Total: Over 32 @ -107 via PointsBet (55% probability)

 

Dimers' best bets are based on complex modeling and wagering expertise to serve you the best possible plays 24/7.

Saints vs. Browns Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for New Orleans vs. Cleveland at FirstEnergy Stadium in Week 16 has the Browns winning 18-15.

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

 

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Saints-Browns matchup in Week 16, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

Saints vs. Browns Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Saints vs. Browns? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Saints and Browns, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Saturday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Cleveland's Nick Chubb is most likely to score the first TD in Saints vs. Browns.

DimersBOT gives Chubb an 11.7% chance of scoring the first TD at FirstEnergy Stadium, while the Browns RB is a 37.3% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

 

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

New Orleans Saints

  • Alvin Kamara: 10.3% probability
  • Juwan Johnson: 8.0% probability
  • Rashid Shaheed: 7.0% probability
  • Taysom Hill: 6.0% probability
  • Marquez Callaway: 4.1% probability

Cleveland Browns

  • Nick Chubb: 11.7% probability
  • Deshaun Watson: 8.9% probability
  • Amari Cooper: 7.3% probability
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones: 6.5% probability
  • David Njoku: 6.3% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

New Orleans Saints

  • Alvin Kamara: 33.9% probability
  • Juwan Johnson: 26.2% probability
  • Rashid Shaheed: 24.5% probability
  • Taysom Hill: 21.2% probability
  • Marquez Callaway: 14.1% probability

Cleveland Browns

  • Nick Chubb: 37.3% probability
  • Deshaun Watson: 28.9% probability
  • Amari Cooper: 25.9% probability
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones: 21.8% probability
  • David Njoku: 21.1% probability

Saints-Browns Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Saints' Andy Dalton is projected to have a quiet game with 173 passing yards. The Browns' Deshaun Watson is expected to throw for 195 yards.

Saints Starting QB

  • Andy Dalton: 173 projected yards

Browns Starting QB

  • Deshaun Watson: 195 projected yards

Saints Rushing

  • Alvin Kamara: 60 projected yards
  • Taysom Hill: 41 projected yards
  • David Johnson: 11 projected yards

Browns Rushing

  • Nick Chubb: 88 projected yards
  • Kareem Hunt: 27 projected yards
  • Deshaun Watson: 24 projected yards

Saints Receiving

  • Rashid Shaheed: 40 projected yards
  • Juwan Johnson: 34 projected yards
  • Alvin Kamara: 27 projected yards
  • Marquez Callaway: 26 projected yards
  • Tre'Quan Smith: 21 projected yards

Browns Receiving

  • Amari Cooper: 52 projected yards
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones: 44 projected yards
  • David Njoku: 39 projected yards
  • David Bell: 25 projected yards
  • Kareem Hunt: 16 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before Saints vs. Browns on Saturday December 24, 2022.

 

Saints vs. Browns 2022

The NFL Week 16 game between the Browns and Saints at FirstEnergy Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

  • Who: New Orleans Saints vs. Cleveland Browns
  • Date: Saturday December 24, 2022
  • Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
  • Venue: FirstEnergy Stadium

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What NFL games are on today?

Now you've got the 411 on Saints vs. Browns, take a look at the latest betting predictions for all upcoming NFL games in our NFL Bet Hub, where you can find probabilities and odds, plus our best bets for every single NFL matchup.

Want a pick for the Spread? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good. Take a look now!

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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