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Royals vs. Phillies Prediction for MLB Friday [8/4/2023]
The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the Kansas City Royals in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Friday, beginning at 7:05PM ET.
The Phillies will start Aaron Nola (9-7, 4.44 ERA), up against Jordan Lyles (2-12, 6.15 ERA) for the Royals.
Dimers' free betting picks for Royals vs. Phillies, as well as game predictions and betting odds, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Royals vs. Phillies
Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Friday's Royals-Phillies MLB matchup 10,000 times.
Dimers' proven predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Phillies a 68% chance of beating the Royals.
More: Royals vs. Phillies Simulated 10,000 Times
Royals vs. Phillies Odds [8/4]
- Run Line: Phillies -1.5 (-120), Royals +1.5 (+105)
- Moneyline: Phillies -250, Royals +220
- Total: Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-115)
The Phillies are listed as -1.5 favorites against the Royals, with -120 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.
For the underdog Royals (+1.5) to cover the run line, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on the market at +105.
BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Phillies at -250. That means you can risk $250 to win $100, for a total payout of $350, if they get the W.
Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Royals at +220, where you can bet $100 to profit $220, earning a total payout of $320, if they win.
The Over/Under for total runs scored sits at 9.5 with DraftKings Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at +100, while PointsBet currently has the best odds for the Under at -115.
As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best MLB odds and lines.
According to DimersBOT, the Phillies (-1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the run line, while the Over/Under total of 9.5 runs has considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Major Sports
Best Bets: Royals vs. Phillies
- Run Line: Royals +1.5 @ +105 via DraftKings Sportsbook
- Moneyline: Royals @ +220 via PointsBet (0.7% edge)
- Total: Over 9.5 @ +100 via DraftKings Sportsbook (50% probability)
Our best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to help you make smarter decisions with your state's legal sportsbooks.
Even though the Phillies are more likely to cover the run line, our best bet of Royals +1.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, according to DimersBOT, and the best odds available.
And while the Phillies are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Royals moneyline is the best option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Royals vs. Phillies Prediction
Dimers.com predicts that the Phillies are more likely to beat the Royals in the MLB game on Friday.
This prediction is backed by comprehensive data-driven analysis, with the Phillies boasting a 68% chance of winning after conducting 10,000 simulations of the game.
Click or tap on See Matchup for more information.
Dimers has full betting coverage of Friday's Royals-Phillies game, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live scores.
Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so keep checking this page for any changes to our betting insights ahead of Royals vs. Phillies on Friday August 4, 2023.
Royals vs. Phillies 2023
Friday's MLB action between the Phillies and Royals at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to begin at 7:05PM ET.
- Who: Kansas City Royals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Friday August 4, 2023
- Time: 7:05PM ET / 4:05PM PT
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
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Dimers' picks are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.
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