Red Wings vs. Lightning Prediction and Odds - Apr 13, 2023

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Red Wings vs. Lightning Prediction and Odds - Apr 13, 2023

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Detroit Red Wings clash in of the NHL at Amalie Arena on Thursday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers' top betting picks for Red Wings vs. Lightning, as well as game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are featured in this article.

 

Who will win Red Wings vs. Lightning?

Using cutting-edge computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Thursday's Red Wings-Lightning NHL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Lightning a 66% chance of winning against the Red Wings.

More: Free Betting Analysis for Red Wings vs. Lightning

Red Wings vs. Lightning Odds

  • Puck Line: Lightning -1.5 (+105), Red Wings +1.5 (-120)
  • Moneyline: Lightning -230, Red Wings +200
  • Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-114/+100)

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Lightning are listed as -1.5 favorites versus the Red Wings, with +105 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Red Wings (+1.5) to cover the puck line, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at -120.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at -230, which means you can risk $230 to win $100, for a total payout of $330, if they get the W.

On the other hand, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Red Wings at +200, where you can bet $100 to profit $200, earning a total payout of $300, if they win.

The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -114, while DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at +100.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Red Wings (+1.5) are a 56% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals is a 52% chance of going Under.

More: Free Online Bet Tracking Tool

Best Bets for Red Wings vs. Lightning

  • Puck Line: Red Wings +1.5 @ -120 via BetMGM (56% probability)
  • Moneyline: Red Wings @ +200 via BetMGM (0.8% edge)
  • Total: Under 6.5 @ +100 via DraftKings Sportsbook (52% probability)

 

Dimers' best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering expertise to help you make better investments with your state's legal sportsbooks.

While the Lightning are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Red Wings moneyline is the best option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers.com is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.

Red Wings vs. Lightning Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

 

Dimers has full betting coverage of Thursday's Red Wings-Lightning matchup, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Red Wings vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Red Wings vs. Lightning? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Red Wings and Lightning.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop bets for Thursday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Tampa Bay's Steven Stamkos is most likely to score the first goal in Red Wings vs. Lightning.

DimersBOT gives Stamkos a 9.4% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 44.9% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

 

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

Detroit Red Wings

  • Dylan Larkin: 5.7% probability
  • David Perron: 5.2% probability
  • Lucas Raymond: 4.2% probability
  • Alex Chiasson: 3.3% probability
  • Dominik Kubalik: 3.2% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Steven Stamkos: 9.4% probability
  • Brayden Point: 8.9% probability
  • Nikita Kucherov: 8.5% probability
  • Alex Killorn: 5.6% probability
  • Brandon Hagel: 4.4% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

Detroit Red Wings

  • Dylan Larkin: 33.4% probability
  • David Perron: 29.5% probability
  • Lucas Raymond: 23.9% probability
  • Andrew Copp: 21.0% probability
  • Dominik Kubalik: 19.6% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Steven Stamkos: 44.9% probability
  • Brayden Point: 42.2% probability
  • Nikita Kucherov: 41.9% probability
  • Alex Killorn: 28.3% probability
  • Brandon Hagel: 25.1% probability

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before Red Wings vs. Lightning on Thursday April 13, 2023.

 

Red Wings vs. Lightning 2023 Game Info

Thursday's game between the Lightning and Red Wings at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

  • Who: Detroit Red Wings vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
  • Date: Thursday April 13, 2023
  • Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
  • Venue: Amalie Arena

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Want more NHL predictions like this?

So, you liked our Red Wings vs. Lightning betting predictions? Awesome. Did you know our NHL Betting News section has a detailed betting preview for every NHL matchup the second the sportsbooks put out their odds?

That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds against its own probabilities to find edges in the markets, which allows us to write the most authoritative NHL betting previews and beat the public and the sportsbooks to the punch.

As well as NHL game picks and predicitons, we also provide the best NHL prop bets for today, with our projections for first and anytime goal scorers and more lined up against the sportsbook odds every single day of the NHL season.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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