Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Odds, La Liga Picks [4/20/2025]

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Written by Damien Souness

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao matchup.

Real Madrid-Athletic Bilbao Predictions and Game Preview.
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu sets the stage for the La Liga matchup between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao this Sunday.

Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao will lock horns in La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu on Sunday, with kickoff at 3:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven La Liga model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Real Madrid as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Real Madrid-Athletic Bilbao game," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.

"Incorporating the most recent updates along with numerous other variables, our prediction gives Real Madrid a 59.4% chance of winning, Athletic Bilbao an 18.4% chance, and a 22.2% chance of a draw."

For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao predictions page.

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Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's La Liga match between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model indicates a 59.4% chance of Real Madrid winning, an 18.4% chance for Athletic Bilbao, and a 22.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of going over, according to our model.

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Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao Odds

We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Real Madrid Athletic Bilbao Draw
-210 +625 +360

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
-134 +110

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best La Liga picks and La Liga best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Real Madrid win being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
MAD 1-0 ATB 11.2%
MAD 2-0 ATB 10.5%
MAD 1-1 ATB 10.5%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 51.6% chance that both teams scoring, and a 48.4% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.

Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's La Liga game between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu is scheduled to commence in the USA at 3:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid picks, be sure to check out the latest La Liga predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Real Madrid has a 59.4% win probability on Sunday, Athletic Bilbao has an 18.4% win probability, and there is a 22.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Real Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on La Liga

Keep up with the latest La Liga news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our La Liga futures odds provide the latest probabilities for each La Liga title contender.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Innovation Officer

Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.

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