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Puebla vs. Toluca Prediction, Odds, Liga MX Picks [3/14/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Our expert prediction for Friday's Puebla vs Toluca matchup.
Puebla will take on Toluca in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Cuauhtémoc on Friday, commencing at 11:05PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Toluca as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Puebla-Toluca game 10,000 times," said Dave Garofolo from Dimers.
"Taking into account the most current updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives Puebla a 19.2% chance of winning, Toluca a 59.7% chance, and a 21.1% chance of a draw."
For expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Puebla vs. Toluca predictions page.
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Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20SOCCER Get Dimers Pro Puebla vs. Toluca Prediction: Who Will Win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Liga MX game between Puebla and Toluca 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 19.2% chance of Puebla winning, a 59.7% chance for Toluca, and a 21.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 60% chance of going over, according to our model.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:08PM, Mar 14
Moneyline
Correct Score
Over / Under
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Puebla vs. Toluca Odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Puebla | Toluca | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +425 | -160 | +310 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -142 | +102 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Puebla vs. Toluca Picks and Best Bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Puebla vs. Toluca matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Puebla-Toluca Pick Get Dimers Pro Puebla vs. Toluca: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-1 Toluca win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PUE 1-2 TOL | 9.9% |
| PUE 1-1 TOL | 9.8% |
| PUE 0-2 TOL | 9.4% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.8% chance that both Puebla and Toluca score, and a 43.2% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.
Puebla vs. Toluca Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Friday's action between Puebla and Toluca at Estadio Cuauhtémoc is scheduled to start at 11:05PM ET.
- Who: Puebla vs. Toluca
- Date: Friday, March 14, 2025
- Time: 11:05PM ET/8:05PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Cuauhtémoc
Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Friday's Puebla vs. Toluca matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Toluca vs. Puebla picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Puebla has a 19.2% win probability on Friday, Toluca has a 59.7% win probability, and there is a 21.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Puebla vs. Toluca insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on Liga MX
Stay informed with the latest Liga MX betting news, Liga MX best bets and parlay picks throughout the season.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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