Premier League Soccer Picks and Predictions for Week 8

The English Premier League season is underway and this weekend brings another loaded slate of games. Our EPL soccer expert is ready to go with his English Premier League soccer picks for Week 8.

Before we dive in, you should know that it definitely pays to have more than one funded sportsbook account and to use multiple sports betting sites when betting on sports, whether it be the best parlay bets available today, some EPL futures, or anything else!

At around 12 PM on Saturday I had my introduction for this week already written in my head. We had hit Arsenal TT Over 2.5 with relative ease and a sweep looked likely, only to watch Everton miss chance after fucking chance (they ended around 3 xG) and piss away most of our profit. But then Spurs-Liverpool happened…

To say that that game was a beautiful disaster (at least from the standpoint of a Spurs fan) would be like saying the Mariana Trench is “sort of deep.” It was a massive win for my beloved Tottenham, picking up three points against a top four challenger on a last minute own goal that had me screaming like an 8-year-old girl at a T-Swift concert. But, while the three points are huge, it’s hard not to feel like we were given a bit of an undeserved gift.

Reasonable minds could certainly differ about the first red, but to me those decisions need to be left on the field. The more you look at a foul like that in slow motion the worse it seems, but that decision is NOTHING compared to VAR (or the VAR operator) deciding to simply ignore all of their responsibilities on Diaz’s opener. At the time everyone assumed the angle on screen was just deceptive, but to see the EPL come out with their tail between their legs after the game and admit it was a goal was SHOCKING. VAR has never been a popular addition for fans, but if we cant even trust it to perform the most basic functions then why even bother? I’m sure a lot of Liverpool supporters are asking that exact questions right now.

Time to dive back in with Dimers.com and our EPL plays of the week.

MORE: Premier League Best Bets 

Premier League Best Bets - Week 8

West Ham vs. Newcastle: Sunday, October 8, 9:00AM EST

After spending the last couple of weeks wrestling the DimersBOT for superiority (with no real victor), it’s time to let bygones be bygones and get this ship moving as a cohesive unit. More accurately, the Bot finally got its shit together and decided to agree with me for once, but I’ll do the diplomatic thing and not point out that the Bot has really been crushing my vibe with its anti Tottenham rhetoric over the last two weeks (not that I hold grudges…)

And, as we’ve seen in the past, we’ve got two slightly different approaches to the same idea. I like Newcastle TT Over 1.5 at -110, while the Bot likes Newcastle ML at +115 (with a MASSIVE 4.9% edge). Essentially the same rationale I would assume, but I like to limit risk by taking the opposition out of the picture and focusing on one team to score while the Bot is glad to take on that extra risk as well as the benefit of a 1-0 victory if it comes.

There is certainly a bit of a letdown risk with Newcastle coming off a shocking 4-1 over PSG at St James Park, but this team has shaken off an ugly spell where they lost to Liverpool, Brighton and City and gotten things on course, particularly in front of net. They actually sit a point behind West Ham, but Newcastle’s GD is 8 better and they will be brimming with confidence. And, with no reason to rest players going into the international break, they should be firing on all cylinders here.

⛏️ Sam’s Pick: Newcastle TT Over 1.5 (-110) - 1.1U 
🤖 Dimers' Model: Newcastle ML (+115) - 4.9% edge

⚽️ MORE: West Ham vs. Newcastle prediction

Wolves vs. Aston Villa: Sunday, October 8, 9:00 AM EST

Run it back? Sure, let’s run it back. Your favorite cartoon likes Villa TT Over 1.5 here at even money, while the Bot likes Villa ML at +110. The logic, presumably, is also pretty damn similar (you’re welcome for copping out and giving you the same load of garbage twice).

That said, there are some important distinctions here that are worth noting from the above pick. Villa have to deal with a conference league game (thankfully at home) which gives them one less day of rest, while Wolves have some wind in their sales coming off an utterly shocking three points over City.

Still, I don't see Wolves finding that sort of luck or form twice in a row, given they managed two goals off of a single shot on net against City. And, while Villa may have flaws, their strength is in front of net where they average over 2.5 goals per game through seven matches. Skin the frog either way you want on this one (I’ve sworn off using the phrase “more than one way to skin the cat” as a courtesy to my own beloved feline, Noodle) but make sure to ride Villa.

⛏️ Sam’s Pick: Aston Villa TT Over 1.5 (EVEN) - 1U
🤖 Dimers' Model: Aston Villa ML (+110)

⚽️ MORE: Wolves vs. Aston Villa picks

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