Premier League Soccer Picks and Predictions for MatchWeek 33

Well, here we are again. The last 7 days have provided almost nothing in the way of answers for the UCL and EPL, and each trophy remains wide open. But, honestly, I just dont feel like trying to walk through all the permutations and considerations for those competitions because that is both boring and repetitive of what you could find on any website. Also, Im busy watching the Masters as I write this so cut me some slack and/or leave me alone.

Instead, I’m going to take this opportunity to tell Augusta to go fuck itself for never picking me in their lottery to go see the Masters. I am a simple man, with very few bucket list items or places i want to travel. But I’ll be damned if I don't want to JUST ONCE go see that place in person.

Seems simple enough, but year in and year out I lose the draw to visit for a day and I cannot afford the absurd secondary prices you have to pay to get in the gates. So, if there are any Augusta members who read this, shame on you! But also please get me a ticket (or a membership, I’d be cool with that too).

Enough of that, back to soccer.

MORE: Premier League Best Bets 

Premier League Best Bets - Week 33

West Ham vs. Fulham: Sunday, April 14, 9:00 AM EST

Alright ladies and gentlemen, we have a real banger on our hands here. As we’ve learned over the last couple of seasons, West Ham loves to battle it out in a lower tier European competition and this match could be crucial in getting them to the 5th/6th place finish they so desperately covet.

 And, with that in mind, I see them finding goals here. Fulham’s season is without a doubt over, having reached enough points to survive relegation, and you can expect a whole lot of coasting and toasting to that survival over their last 6 matches. The Cottagers werent particularly strong defensively when they were trying (conceding over 1.5 goals per game and over 2 per on the road), so I think targeting West Ham to score, even with their European fixtures, makes sense.

And, at just -104 for TT Over 1.5, I think this bet has a heck of a lot of value. Sure, as I mentioned, the Hammers will have some tired legs with the fixture buildup and having to face Leverkusen, but their strength is on the offensive end and I think they’re more liable to lapse on the other side of the pitch. For a home team with more to play for at almost a 1 to 1 payout, this is a strong play.

⛏️ Sam's Pick: West Ham TT Over 1.5 (-104) - 1.04U

⚽️ MORE: West Ham vs. Fulham match prediction

Arsenal vs. Aston Villa: Sunday, April 14, 11:30 AM EST

I was talking to someone the other day about what I want the outcome of this game to be, and our ultimate conclusion was that a draw was the best reasonable choice for Spurs but a meteor hitting the pitch and killing both teams was what I would root for. Just putting my cards on the table.

But, while I don't necessarily want to pick either team to succeed here, I think the value on BTTS at -126 is too good to pass up. That number seems to rely very heavily on Arsenal keeping a clean sheet, but Villa’s offensive record is stellar and they are not going to pack it in deep, even if it ends up hurting them (see: 4-1 loss to City).

With a second leg against Bayern right around the corner, Arsenal are getting pulled hard in a couple of different directions and, even if they do win this, I dont see it being a clean 10/10 performance. Arsenal at home should certainly break this porous Villa D, but I think the visitors crack them as well.

⛏️ Sam’s Pick: BTTS (-126) - 1.26U

⚽️ MORE: Arsenal vs. Aston Villa match prediction

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