Predictive Analytics Model's Picks To Win 2022 3M Open

With the final major of the PGA season run and won, it's time to look ahead to betting on the 3M Open in Blaine, Minnesota.

Here, we look at some of the best bets ahead of this week's PGA event.

2022 3M Open Odds And Probabilities

As we look at the players who have the best shot to win, it is a good time to sign up with PointsBet Sportsbook, where now you can sign up and get FIVE $100 risk-free bets  ➡️ here ⬅️ over the next five days.

2022 3M Open Best Bets to Win

Weaker fields in the PGA can often mean that there's value in the long shots, but before we get to them, let's look at a couple of favorites that DimersBOT has as value to win this week.

Both Tony Finau and the soon-to-be LIV golfer Hideki Matsuyama are looking like smart bets to make this week, with our implied fair odds lower than the odds on offer with the books this week.

After simulating the tournament 10,000 times, our model suggests that Finau's odds should be +850, whilst Matsuyama's should be +1150.

Both guys made the cut at last week's Open Championship, with each also posting impressive Sunday scores as Finau shot six-under and Matsuyama shot five-under.

In a week where we should get plenty of birdies, one of these two guys could very easily get hot and run away with the tournament.

The play here is to take them both.

2022 3M Open Value Picks To Win

Although Finau and Matsuyama are the only two locked-on suggested bets to win according to DimersBOT, there's still some value to find if you look further down the board.

Two guys that the come into the week in form that are rated as Top-10 chances to win by the 'BOT are Adam Hadwin and Davis Riley.

Canadian Adam Hadwin is having one of his best seasons on the PGA TOUR in 2021-22, with five Top-10 finishes in events that have much deeper fields than the one we have this week.

With a T7 at the recent U.S. Open and a T9 at the PLAYERS Championship, Hadwin has been in the mix in some big tournaments already this year.

Couple that with his two previous results at this very tournament and course (4th in 2019 and 6th in 2021) and the +3500 is looking like great value.

Of every player in the field this week, Davis Riley has the longest made cut streak, with an impressive eight in a row seeing him behind only Jon Rahm on the entire tour.

Riley is yet to break through for his first PGA victory, but with four Top-5 finishes already this season, the 3M Open could prove to be the perfect opportunity for the 25-year-old to break through.

2022 3M Open Dark Horse Picks

If you're thinking that this is the week for a guy with odds of +5000 or better to win the golf, then this is the section for you!

Two guys that stand out this week at long odds are Troy Merritt and 2021 winner Cameron Champ.

Although Finau and Matsuyama are the only two winner bets that DimersBOT has put forward this week, Troy Merritt is presenting value to finish in the Top-10 (+575) and Top-20 (+250).

Our fair odds for Merritt this week are +393 for a Top-10 finish and +187 for a Top-20 finish.

There's also value on Merritt to win (just not quite enough for the 'BOT to bet it), with our fair odds at +4600 compare to the +6000 available with the books.

Cameron Champ on the other hand is not being favored by our model this week, but of course won the tournament in 2021.

Ranked 130th in the world, Champ has just two Top-10 finishes this season (although one was at the Masters) so will be likely eyeing this one off as a chance to get back in form.

If you don't think he can quite recapture the form of that 2021 win but like him to at least stay competitive, Champ's odds for a Top-20 finish are +250, whilst a Top-10 finish is available at +550.

Remember, you can bet Troy Merritt or anyone else this week with one of your five risk-free bets with PointsBet ➡️ here ⬅️.

2022 3M Open odds and probabilities correct at the time of publishing.