Steelers vs. Commanders Prediction: Washington Predicted to Win in NFL Week 10 [2024]

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Written by Mac Douglass
Pittsburgh Steelers-Washington Commanders Predictions and Game Preview.
Northwest Stadium sets the stage for the NFL matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Washington Commanders this Sunday.

The Washington Commanders will face the Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL Week 10 action at Northwest Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Commanders as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Steelers-Commanders game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Commanders with a win probability of 59%, while the Steelers have 41%."

This updated Steelers vs. Commanders betting preview is a follow-up on our early Steelers vs. Commanders prediction that was published at the start of the week.

For more detail on today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, check out our interactive Steelers vs. Commanders predictions page.

Steelers vs. Commanders Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 10 matchup between the Commanders and Steelers at Northwest Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of this week's Steelers vs. Commanders matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Pittsburgh vs. Washington picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Use code 20FOOTBALL at checkout now to get 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! Hurry, this offer won't last long.

Steelers vs. Commanders Predictions

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Steelers and Commanders 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Commanders a 59% chance of defeating the Steelers in Week 10 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Commanders winning 24-21.

According to our model, the Commanders (-1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of going over.

 

In addition to our Steelers vs. Commanders predictions, we've also here's what else we've got for today’s action:

Steelers vs. Commanders Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Steelers Commanders
Spread +1.5 (-105) -1.5 (-115)
Moneyline +108 -120
Total o44.5 (-120) u44.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Steelers vs. Commanders Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Steelers vs. Commanders matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Steelers vs. Commanders TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Steelers vs. Commanders?

According to our model, Washington's Jayden Daniels is most likely to score the first TD in Steelers vs. Commanders.

Our projections give Daniels a 10.9% chance of scoring the first TD at Northwest Stadium, while the Commanders QB is a 44.3% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player First TD Probability
Najee Harris 9.5%
George Pickens 7.3%
Jaylen Warren 6.1%

Washington Commanders

Player First TD Probability
Jayden Daniels 10.9%
Terry McLaurin 8.8%
Austin Ekeler 8.6%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player Anytime TD Probability
Najee Harris 41.1%
George Pickens 32.6%
Jaylen Warren 27.6%

Washington Commanders

Player Anytime TD Probability
Jayden Daniels 44.3%
Terry McLaurin 37.8%
Austin Ekeler 37.5%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 10 touchdown scorer predictions

Steelers vs Commanders Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Steelers and Commanders. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Steelers-Commanders page now to access every player prop projection.

Steelers vs. Commanders Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Russell Wilson is projected to throw for more yards than the Commanders' Jayden Daniels.

Steelers Rushing

Najee Harris, Jaylen Warren and Russell Wilson are projected to be the leading rushers for the Steelers.

Player Position
Najee Harris RB
Jaylen Warren RB
Russell Wilson QB

Commanders Rushing

Jayden Daniels, Austin Ekeler and Chris Rodriguez are expected to lead the Commanders in rushing yards.

Player Position
Jayden Daniels QB
Austin Ekeler RB
Chris Rodriguez RB

Steelers Receiving

George Pickens, Pat Freiermuth, Mike Williams, Van Jefferson and Calvin Austin are projected to top the receiving yards for the Steelers.

Player Position
George Pickens WR
Pat Freiermuth TE
Mike Williams WR
Van Jefferson WR
Calvin Austin WR

Commanders Receiving

Terry McLaurin, Noah Brown, Zach Ertz, Olamide Zaccheaus and Austin Ekeler are projected to lead the Commanders in receiving yards.

Player Position
Terry McLaurin WR
Noah Brown WR
Zach Ertz TE
Olamide Zaccheaus WR
Austin Ekeler RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Commanders, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Steelers on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Steelers vs. Commanders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL news, NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest probabilities for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac brings a well-traveled perspective and broad sports knowledge to Dimers, specializing in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, plus insights across DFS, online casinos and sweepstakes. Known for finding top new user promos across major sportsbooks and online gaming platforms, Mac enhances the betting experience for both novices and veterans alike.

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