Steelers vs. Colts Prediction: Pittsburgh Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 4 [2024]

The Indianapolis Colts will face the Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL Week 4 action at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Steelers as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Steelers-Colts game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Steelers with a win probability of 58%, while the Colts have 42%."

Steelers vs. Colts Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 4 game between the Colts and Steelers at Lucas Oil Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Indianapolis Colts
• Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Colts and Steelers gear at Fanatics
• Live Stream: Watch this game on CBS via Hulu, FuboTV or Paramount+

Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Steelers vs. Colts matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Colts vs. Steelers picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Steelers vs. Colts Predictions

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Steelers and Colts 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Steelers a 58% chance of defeating the Colts in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Steelers winning 21-19.

According to our model, the Colts (+2.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 40.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.

In addition to our Steelers vs. Colts predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for today’s action:

• NFL Best Bets for Week 4
• NFL Player Props for Week 4
• Anytime TD Scorer Predictions for Week 4

Steelers vs. Colts Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Steelers	Colts
Spread	-2.5 (-112)	+2.5 (+100)
Moneyline	-142	+124
Total	o40.5 (-122)	u40.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Steelers vs. Colts Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Steelers vs. Colts matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Steelers vs. Colts TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Steelers vs. Colts?

According to our model, Pittsburgh's Najee Harris is most likely to score the first TD in Steelers vs. Colts.

Our projections give Harris a 12.7% chance of scoring the first TD at Lucas Oil Stadium, while the Steelers RB is a 46.8% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	First TD Probability
Najee Harris	12.7%
Justin Fields	10.6%
George Pickens	10.1%

Indianapolis Colts

Player	First TD Probability
Jonathan Taylor	12.6%
Anthony Richardson	10.9%
Michael Pittman	4.4%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Najee Harris	46.8%
Justin Fields	40.2%
George Pickens	38.0%

Indianapolis Colts

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jonathan Taylor	47.9%
Anthony Richardson	41.9%
Michael Pittman	19.4%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 4 touchdown scorer predictions

Steelers vs Colts Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Steelers and Colts. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Steelers-Colts page now to access every player prop projection.

Steelers vs. Colts Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Justin Fields is projected to throw for more yards than the Colts' Anthony Richardson.

Steelers Rushing

Najee Harris, Justin Fields and Cordarrelle Patterson are projected to be the leading rushers for the Steelers.

Player	Position
Najee Harris	RB
Justin Fields	QB
Cordarrelle Patterson	RB

Colts Rushing

Jonathan Taylor, Anthony Richardson and Trey Sermon are expected to lead the Colts in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Jonathan Taylor	RB
Anthony Richardson	QB
Trey Sermon	RB

Steelers Receiving

George Pickens, Pat Freiermuth, Van Jefferson, Calvin Austin and Roman Wilson are projected to top the receiving yards for the Steelers.

Player	Position
George Pickens	WR
Pat Freiermuth	TE
Van Jefferson	WR
Calvin Austin	WR
Roman Wilson	WR

Colts Receiving

Michael Pittman, Josh Downs, Alec Pierce, Adonai Mitchell and Jonathan Taylor are projected to lead the Colts in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Michael Pittman	WR
Josh Downs	WR
Alec Pierce	WR
Adonai Mitchell	WR
Jonathan Taylor	RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Steelers, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Colts in Week 4 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Steelers vs. Colts insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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