Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Wild Card Round [2024]

The Buffalo Bills will take on the Pittsburgh Steelers in the Wild Card round of the NFL Playoffs at Highmark Stadium on Monday, beginning at 4:30PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth betting preview for Monday's Steelers vs. Bills matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Steelers vs. Bills Prediction: Model Anticipates Steelers To Cover The Spread

We have used powerful machine learning and data to simulate the result of Monday's NFL matchup between the Steelers and Bills 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NFL picks.

Our popular predictive analytics model gives the Bills an 85% chance of beating the Steelers, and our predicted final score has the Bills winning 24-14.

According to our model, the Steelers (+10) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 39.5 points has a 51% chance of going under.

Today's Pittsburgh vs. Buffalo betting preview is presented by BetMGM Sportsbook, which has a great Bet $5, Get $158 in Bonus Bets promo for new customers.

Steelers vs. Bills Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Steelers	Bills
Spread	+10 (-110)	-10 (-110)
Moneyline	+400	-470
Total	o39.5 (-110)	u39.5 (-110)

• The Bills are currently -10 favorites against the Steelers, with -110 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
• For the underdog Steelers (+10) to cover the spread, BetMGM also has the best odds currently on offer at -110.
• DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Bills at -470. That means you can risk $470 to win $100 for a total payout of $570 if they get the W.
• Elsewhere, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Steelers at +400, where you can bet $100 to profit $400, earning a total payout of $500 if they win.
• The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 39.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Steelers vs. Bills Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have determined the best betting picks for this game:

Bet Type	Our Pick	Best Odds
Spread	Steelers +10	-110
Moneyline	Bills	-470
Total	Under 39.5	-110

Our best NFL bets are based on detailed simulations and gambling intelligence to serve you the best possible plays every time.

Steelers vs. Bills TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Steelers vs. Bills?

According to our model, Buffalo's Josh Allen is most likely to score the first touchdown in Steelers vs. Bills.

Our projections give Allen a 19.9% chance of scoring the first TD at Highmark Stadium, while the Bills QB is a 63.7% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	First TD Probability
Najee Harris	10.6%
Jaylen Warren	8.4%
George Pickens	5.6%
Diontae Johnson	4.5%
Pat Freiermuth	3.6%

Buffalo Bills

Player	First TD Probability
Josh Allen	19.9%
James Cook	14.0%
Stefon Diggs	10.0%
Dalton Kincaid	6.5%
Khalil Shakir	4.9%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Najee Harris	41.2%
Jaylen Warren	34.1%
George Pickens	23.4%
Diontae Johnson	20.6%
Pat Freiermuth	15.2%

Buffalo Bills

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Josh Allen	63.7%
James Cook	50.8%
Stefon Diggs	36.9%
Dalton Kincaid	26.3%
Khalil Shakir	20.1%

Steelers vs Bills Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Steelers and Bills, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Steelers vs. Bills Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Mason Rudolph is projected to have a quiet game with 182 passing yards, while the Bills' Josh Allen is expected to throw for 234 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Mason Rudolph (PIT)	182 yds
Josh Allen (BUF)	234 yds

Steelers Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Najee Harris	58 yds
Jaylen Warren	45 yds
Mason Rudolph	8 yds

Bills Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
James Cook	86 yds
Josh Allen	44 yds
Ty Johnson	12 yds

Steelers Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
George Pickens	47 yds
Diontae Johnson	39 yds
Pat Freiermuth	32 yds
Jaylen Warren	20 yds
Allen Robinson	19 yds

Bills Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Stefon Diggs	53 yds
Khalil Shakir	39 yds
Dalton Kincaid	37 yds
James Cook	23 yds
Dawson Knox	16 yds

Don't forget, our model updates regularly, so keep an eye on this page for the latest betting analysis ahead of the Steelers vs. Bills on Monday January 15, 2024.

Steelers vs. Bills Game Information

The NFL Week 19 matchup between the Bills and Steelers at Highmark Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:30PM ET.

• Who: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills
• Date: Monday January 15, 2024
• Time: 4:30PM ET / 1:30PM PT
• Venue: Highmark Stadium

Our full betting coverage of Steelers vs. Bills includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live updates.

How to Bet on Steelers vs. Bills

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Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on this week's Steelers vs. Bills matchup, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

Dimers' picks and predictions are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While our Steelers vs. Bills predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

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