Steelers vs. Falcons Prediction: Atlanta Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 1 [2024]

The Atlanta Falcons will square off with the Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL Week 1 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Falcons as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Steelers-Falcons game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Falcons with a win probability of 64%, while the Steelers have 36%."

Steelers vs. Falcons Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 1 action between the Falcons and Steelers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Atlanta Falcons
• Date: Sunday, September 8, 2024
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Falcons and Steelers gear at Fanatics
• Live Stream: Watch this game on FOX via Hulu or FuboTV

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Steelers vs. Falcons matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Falcons vs. Steelers picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Steelers vs. Falcons Predictions

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Steelers and Falcons 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Falcons a 64% chance of beating the Steelers in Week 1 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Falcons winning 22-19.

According to our model, the Steelers (+4.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 43-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Steelers vs. Falcons Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Steelers	Falcons
Spread	+4.5 (-118)	-4.5 (-104)
Moneyline	+168	-192
Total	o43 (-112)	u43 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Steelers vs. Falcons Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Steelers vs. Falcons matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Steelers vs. Falcons TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Steelers vs. Falcons?

According to our model, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is most likely to score the first touchdown in Steelers vs. Falcons.

Our projections give Robinson a 14.8% chance of getting in for six first at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB is a 53.5% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	First TD Probability
Najee Harris	9.0%
Justin Fields	7.6%
Jaylen Warren	7.3%

Atlanta Falcons

Player	First TD Probability
Bijan Robinson	14.8%
Drake London	9.5%
Kyle Pitts	7.9%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Najee Harris	37.2%
Justin Fields	32.5%
George Pickens	30.0%

Atlanta Falcons

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Bijan Robinson	53.5%
Drake London	40.1%
Kyle Pitts	32.2%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 1 touchdown scorer predictions

Steelers vs Falcons Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Steelers and Falcons. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Steelers-Falcons page now to access every player prop projection.

Steelers vs. Falcons Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Justin Fields is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Falcons' Kirk Cousins.

Steelers Rushing

Najee Harris, Jaylen Warren and Justin Fields are projected to be the leading rushers for the Steelers.

Player	Position
Najee Harris	RB
Jaylen Warren	RB
Justin Fields	QB

Falcons Rushing

Bijan Robinson, Tyler Allgeier and Jase McClellan are expected to lead the Falcons in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Bijan Robinson	RB
Tyler Allgeier	RB
Jase McClellan	RB

Steelers Receiving

George Pickens, Pat Freiermuth, Van Jefferson, Calvin Austin and Jaylen Warren are projected to top the receiving yards for the Steelers.

Player	Position
George Pickens	WR
Pat Freiermuth	TE
Van Jefferson	WR
Calvin Austin	WR
Jaylen Warren	RB

Falcons Receiving

Drake London, Kyle Pitts, Darnell Mooney, Bijan Robinson and Ray-Ray McCloud are projected to lead the Falcons in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Drake London	WR
Kyle Pitts	TE
Darnell Mooney	WR
Bijan Robinson	RB
Ray-Ray McCloud	WR

NFL Fantasy and Betting Promos

Make the most of Dimers' Steelers vs. Falcons predictions by exploring the two exciting offers below.

DraftKings Pick6

Sign up for DraftKings Pick6 today! Play $5 and get $50 in Pick6 Credits, plus one month of NFL RedZone access.

FanDuel Sportsbook

Get ready for NFL Week 1 by joining FanDuel Sportsbook! Bet $5 and get $200 in bonus bets, plus 3 weeks of NFL Sunday Ticket.

Conclusion

We predict the Falcons, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Steelers on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Steelers vs. Falcons insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL betting news and our data-led NFL best bets and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest predictions for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.