Pirates vs. Reds Prediction: Cincinnati Predicted to Win Sunday's MLB Matchup [4/13/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds matchup.

Pittsburgh Pirates-Cincinnati Reds Predictions and Game Preview.
Great American Ball Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds this Sunday.

The Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates will meet in MLB action at Great American Ball Park on Sunday, starting at 1:40PM ET.

Hunter Greene (1-1, 1.31 ERA) will be on the bump for the Reds, while the Pirates are going with Carmen Mlodzinski (1-1, 5.19 ERA).

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Reds as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Pittsburgh-Cincinnati game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Reds with a win probability of 61%, while the Pirates have 39%."

For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Pirates vs. Reds predictions page.

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Pirates vs. Pirates Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB game between the Pirates and Reds 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Reds a 61% chance of defeating the Pirates.

According to our model, the Pirates (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 5:28PM, Apr 13
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Pirates
Win %
39%
61%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Reds
Pirates PIT
Win %
39%
61%
See Matchup
Reds CIN
Carmen Mlodzinski 1-1, 5.19 ERA
Hunter Greene 1-1, 1.31 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Pirates vs. Reds Odds [4/13/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Pirates Reds
Run Line +1.5 (-135) -1.5 (+114)
Moneyline +154 -184
Total o7.5 (+102) u7.5 (-118)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Pirates vs. Reds Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Pirates vs. Reds matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Best Bets Today

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Pirates vs. Reds Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's MLB action between the Reds and Pirates at Great American Ball Park is scheduled to begin at 1:40PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Pirates vs. Reds matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Pittsburgh vs. Cincinnati picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Reds, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Pirates on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pirates vs. Reds insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay up-to-date with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds offer the latest probabilities for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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