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Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Odds, Picks for NHL Saturday [12/16/2023]

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Odds, Picks for NHL Saturday [12/16/2023]

NHL action continues on Saturday at 7:00PM ET as the Pittsburgh Penguins lock horns with the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.

Dimers' comprehensive betting preview for Saturday's Penguins vs. Maple Leafs game includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Penguins vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

Based on trusted computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Penguins-Maple Leafs NHL matchup 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions for today.

Dimers' famous predictive analytics model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 53% chance of beating the Penguins.

According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under has a 54% chance of going Under.

To make the most of today's Pittsburgh vs. Toronto betting analysis, check out the best sportsbook promos currently available in your state.

Penguins vs. Maple Leafs Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Penguins Maple Leafs
Puck Line +1.5 (-250) -1.5 (+210)
Moneyline -104 -110
Total o6.5 (-105) u6.5 (-115)
  • The Maple Leafs are -1.5 favorites versus the Penguins, with +210 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the underdog Penguins (+1.5) to cover the puck line, BetMGM Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -250. In a sign of how close this game is expected to be, both the Maple Leafs and Penguins are currently at minus-money betting odds on the moneyline.

  • DraftKings currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -110. That means you can risk $110 to win $100, for a total payout of $210, if they get the W.

  • Elsewhere, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Penguins at -104, where you can risk $104 to win $100, for a total payout of $204, if they come out on top.
  • The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6.5 with DraftKings, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at -115.

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

As always, check out the sports betting sites you have access to in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

Penguins vs. Maple Leafs Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have determined the best betting picks to make on this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Puck Line Maple Leafs -1.5 +210
Moneyline Maple Leafs -110
Total Under 6.5 -115

 

Although the Penguins are more likely to cover the puck line, our best bet of Maple Leafs -1.5 is based on the expectation of that happening, according to DimersBOT, and the top odds available.

Dimers' NHL best bets are based on world-class simulations and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible plays every time.

Penguins vs. Maple Leafs Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Penguins vs. Maple Leafs? The latest data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Penguins and Maple Leafs this Saturday.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Saturday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Penguins vs. Maple Leafs.

DimersBOT gives Matthews a 12.3% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 54.2% chance of registering an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player First Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby 9.0%
Jake Guentzel 9.0%
Evgeni Malkin 5.7%
Reilly Smith 5.2%
Erik Karlsson 3.6%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 12.3%
William Nylander 6.9%
Mitchell Marner 5.6%
John Tavares 4.8%
Calle Jarnkrok 4.4%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Jake Guentzel 45.8%
Sidney Crosby 43.7%
Evgeni Malkin 32.6%
Reilly Smith 28.5%
Erik Karlsson 25.1%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 54.2%
William Nylander 38.3%
Mitchell Marner 33.8%
John Tavares 29.4%
Tyler Bertuzzi 25.8%
Don't forget, our model updates regularly, so keep an eye on this article for the latest betting insights ahead of Penguins vs. Maple Leafs on Saturday December 16, 2023.

Penguins vs. Maple Leafs Game Information

Saturday's game between the Maple Leafs and Penguins at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

Click or tap on See Matchup for full betting coverage of Penguins vs. Maple Leafs, including pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

 

How to Bet on Penguins vs. Maple Leafs

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These fees help us keep Dimers free for sports fans like you. So, if you like what you see, support us by joining one of our trusted sports betting partners below.

Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on the Saturday's Penguins vs. Maple Leafs game, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

Dimers' picks and predictions are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Penguins vs. Maple Leafs picks can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may get a referral fee.

More on NHL

Stay well-informed on the most recent NHL betting news and our analytics-driven NHL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds give you the most up-to-date projections and the best available odds on the Stanley Cup winner.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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