Penguins vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Tuesday's NHL Matchup [3/25/2025]

The Tampa Bay Lightning will square off with the Pittsburgh Penguins in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Tuesday, commencing at 7:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has analyzed the latest data and conducted 10,000 simulations for Tuesday's Pittsburgh-Tampa Bay game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction shows the Lightning with a win probability of 68%, compared to 32% for the Penguins."

For further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Penguins vs. Lightning predictions page.

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Penguins vs. Penguins Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Penguins and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Lightning a 68% chance of beating the Penguins.

According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 54% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 53% chance of staying under.

Penguins vs. Lightning Odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Penguins	Lightning
Puck Line	+1.5 (-104)	-1.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+250	-300
Total	o6.5 (+100)	u6.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Penguins vs. Lightning Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Penguins vs. Lightning matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Penguins vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Penguins vs. Lightning?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Penguins vs. Lightning.

Our projections give Point an 8.6% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 41.7% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	First Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby	6.8%
Bryan Rust	5.9%
Rickard Rakell	4.1%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	First Goal Probability
Brayden Point	8.6%
Jake Guentzel	8.1%
Nikita Kucherov	7.2%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby	35.3%
Bryan Rust	31.1%
Rickard Rakell	25.4%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point	41.7%
Jake Guentzel	39.4%
Nikita Kucherov	38.2%

Penguins vs. Lightning Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Tuesday's game between the Lightning and Penguins at Amalie Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
• Date: Tuesday, March 25, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Amalie Arena

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Tuesday's Penguins vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Pittsburgh vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Lightning, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat the Penguins on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Penguins vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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