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Penguins vs. Stars Prediction: Dallas Predicted to Win Saturday's NHL Matchup [4/5/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars matchup.
The Dallas Stars will face the Pittsburgh Penguins in NHL action at American Airlines Center on Saturday, commencing at 3:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Stars as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Pittsburgh-Dallas game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Stars are more likely to win, while the Penguins have a lower chance of victory."
For a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Penguins vs. Stars predictions page.
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Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL game between the Penguins and Stars 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Stars a 68% chance of defeating the Penguins.
According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 54% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 52% chance of staying under.
Penguins vs. Stars Odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Penguins | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-112) | -1.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +220 | -270 |
| Total | o6.5 (-102) | u6.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Penguins vs. Stars Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Penguins vs. Stars matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Penguins-Stars Pick Get Dimers Pro Penguins vs. Stars Player Props
Who will score an anytime goal in Penguins vs. Stars?
According to our model, Dallas' Jason Robertson is most likely to score the first goal in Penguins vs. Stars.
Our projections give Robertson an 8.1% chance of scoring the first goal at American Airlines Center, while the Stars star is a 39.6% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First Goal Scorer Predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 6.1% |
| Bryan Rust | 5.2% |
| Rickard Rakell | 4.7% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | 8.1% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 8.1% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 7.1% |
Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 32.9% |
| Bryan Rust | 29.7% |
| Evgeni Malkin | 24.5% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 39.9% |
| Jason Robertson | 39.6% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 34.7% |
Penguins vs. Stars Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's game between the Stars and Penguins at American Airlines Center is scheduled to start at 3:00PM ET.
- Who: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Dallas Stars
- Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
- Time: 3:00PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Penguins vs. Stars matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Pittsburgh vs. Dallas picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Stars, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat the Penguins on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Penguins vs. Stars insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
More on NHL
Stay up-to-date with the latest NHL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most accurate probabilities for the Stanley Cup title.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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