Pirates vs. Rays Prediction and Odds - May 4, 2023

MLB action continues on Thursday at 1:10PM ET as the Pittsburgh Pirates take on the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field.

Zach Eflin (3-0, 3.00 ERA) will be on the bump for the Rays, up against Vince Velasquez (4-2, 3.06 ERA) for the Pirates.

Dimers' top betting picks for Pirates vs. Rays, as well as game predictions and betting odds, are featured in this article.

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Who Will Win: Pirates vs. Rays

Using trusted machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Thursday's Pirates-Rays MLB matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' proven predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Rays a 61% chance of winning against the Pirates.

More: Pirates vs. Rays Simulated 10K Times

Pirates vs. Rays Odds

• Run Line: Rays -1.5 (+114), Pirates +1.5 (-125)
• Moneyline: Rays -184, Pirates +165
• Total: Over/Under 8 (-115/+100)

Run Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Rays are listed as -1.5 favorites against the Pirates, with +114 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Pirates (+1.5) to cover the run line, BetMGM has the best odds currently on the market at -125.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Rays at -184. That means you can risk $184 to win $100, for a total payout of $284, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Pirates at +165, where you can put down $100 to profit $165, earning a total payout of $265, if they win.

The Over/Under for total runs scored sits at 8 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -115, while DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at +100.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best MLB odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Pirates (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the Over/Under total of 8 runs has a 54% chance of going Over.

More: Best Prop Bets Today

Best Bets for Pirates vs. Rays

• Run Line: Pirates +1.5 @ -125 via BetMGM (57% probability)
• Moneyline: Pirates @ +165 via DraftKings Sportsbook (1.2% edge)
• Total: Over 8 @ -115 via PointsBet (54% probability)

Pittsburgh (+1.5) vs. Tampa Bay

-125

Bet $20
Payout $36Bet $20, Payout $36

Dimers' best bets are based on detailed modeling and wagering intelligence to help you make smarter investments with the legal sportsbooks in the USA.

While the Rays are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Pirates moneyline is the best option due to the 1.2% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Dimers.com is crucial to achieving long-term profitability as a sports bettor.

Pirates vs. Rays Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Pre-Game Probabilities

Last Updated: 5:28PM, May 4

Moneyline

Over / Under

Run Line

Pirates

Win %

38%

62%

+165

-184

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Rays

Pirates PIT

+165

Win %

38%

62%

See Matchup

Rays TB

-184

Vince Velasquez 4-2, 3.06 ERA

Zach Eflin 3-0, 3.00 ERA

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Dimers has full coverage of Thursday's Pirates-Rays matchup, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates often, so keep checking this article for the latest betting insights before Pirates vs. Rays on Thursday May 4, 2023.

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Pirates vs. Rays 2023 Game Info

Thursday's matchup between the Rays and Pirates at Tropicana Field is scheduled to begin at 1:10PM ET.

• Who: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Tampa Bay Rays
• Date: Thursday May 4, 2023
• Time: 1:10PM ET / 10:10AM PT
• Venue: Tropicana Field

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Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions with Dimers

Dimers' picks and predictions are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While these Pirates vs. Rays picks can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

What MLB Games Are on Today?

Now you've got the 411 on Pirates vs. Rays, take a look at the latest betting predictions for all upcoming MLB games thanks to Dimers' MLB Predictions page. There you can find probabilities and odds, and our best bets for each and every MLB matchup.

Want a pick for the Run Line? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good!

In addition to MLB picks and predictions, we also provide the best MLB prop bets for today, projecting home runs, RBIs, and more against the top odds available every day of the MLB season.

Lastly, Dimers' Baseball Futures page is our in-house approach to determining who will win the World Series, with our data-led probabilities paired with the best odds available.