Pirates vs. Phillies Prediction for MLB Tuesday [9/26/2023]

The Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates will meet in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday, starting at 6:40PM ET.

The Phillies will send Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.57 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Mitch Keller (13-9, 4.25 ERA) for the Pirates.

Dimers' top betting picks for Pirates vs. Phillies, plus game predictions and best odds, are featured below.

Who Will Win: Pirates vs. Phillies

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Tuesday's Pirates-Phillies MLB matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Phillies a 61% chance of defeating the Pirates.

More: Betting Predictions for Pirates vs. Phillies

Pirates vs. Phillies Odds [9/26]

• Run Line: Phillies -1.5 (+124), Pirates +1.5 (-140)
• Moneyline: Phillies -175, Pirates +154
• Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-104)

The Phillies are -1.5 favorites versus the Pirates, with +124 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Pirates (+1.5) to cover the run line, PointsBet has the best odds currently on offer at -140.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Phillies at -175, which means you can risk $175 to win $100, for a total payout of $275, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Pirates at +154, where you can put down $100 to profit $154, earning a total payout of $254, if they win.

The Over/Under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -104.

As always, check out all the sportsbooks available in your state for the best MLB odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Pirates (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the Over/Under total of 7.5 runs has a 60% chance of going Over.

More: Best Bets Today for All Major Sports

Best Bets: Pirates vs. Phillies

• Run Line: Pirates +1.5 @ -140 via PointsBet (57% probability)
• Moneyline: Pirates @ +154 via FanDuel Sportsbook (0.1% edge)
• Total: Over 7.5 @ -110 via PointsBet (60% probability) 🔥

Every time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Dimers' best bets today across all major pro and college sports.

Dimers' best bets are based on detailed modeling and wagering intelligence to help you make smarter investments with the legal sportsbooks in the United States.

While the Phillies are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Pirates moneyline is the best option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers.com is crucial to being profitable in the long run.

Pirates vs. Phillies Prediction

Dimers.com predicts that the Phillies are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game on Tuesday.

This prediction is based on detailed data-driven analysis, with the Phillies boasting a 61% probability of winning after conducting 10,000 simulations of the game.

Click or tap on See Matchup to find out more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of Tuesday's Pirates-Phillies game, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so check this page for any changes to our betting analysis before Pirates vs. Phillies on Tuesday September 26, 2023.

Pirates vs. Phillies 2023

Tuesday's MLB action between the Phillies and Pirates at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to commence at 6:40PM ET.

• Who: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies
• Date: Tuesday September 26, 2023
• Time: 6:40PM ET / 3:40PM PT
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park

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Calling Our Shot ⚾️ Best Bets

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest best bets featured below.

Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions with Dimers

Dimers' picks are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While these Pirates vs. Phillies picks can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds (aka Vegas odds) against its own probabilities to find value in the markets. This allows us to create the most accurate MLB betting previews and get the jump on the public and the sportsbooks.

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