Pirates vs. Phillies Prediction for MLB Thursday [9/28/2023]

The Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates are scheduled to meet in Game of the League Series at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday, starting at 6:05PM ET.

Zack Wheeler (13-6, 3.64 ERA) will start on the mound for the Phillies, while the Pirates have opted for Luis L. Ortiz (4-5, 4.96 ERA).

Dimers' free betting picks for Pirates vs. Phillies, plus game predictions and best odds, are detailed in this article.

Who Will Win: Pirates vs. Phillies

Based on trusted computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Thursday's Pirates-Phillies MLB game 10,000 times.

Dimers' leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Phillies a 68% chance of defeating the Pirates.

More: Pirates vs. Phillies Simulated 10K Times

Pirates vs. Phillies Odds [9/28]

• Run Line: Phillies -1.5 (-120), Pirates +1.5 (+110)
• Moneyline: Phillies -250, Pirates +225
• Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-102)

The Phillies are -1.5 favorites against the Pirates, with -120 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Pirates (+1.5) to cover the run line, PointsBet has the best odds currently on offer at +110.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Phillies at -250. That means you can risk $250 to win $100, for a total payout of $350, if they get the W.

On the other hand, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Pirates at +225, where you can bet $100 to profit $225, earning a total payout of $325, if they win.

The Over/Under sits at 7.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -120, as well as the best odds for the Under at -102.

As always, check out all the legal sportbooks available in your state for the best MLB odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Phillies (-1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run Over/Under has a 64% chance of going Over.

More: Best Prop Bets Today

Best Bets: Pirates vs. Phillies

• Run Line: Pirates +1.5 @ +110 via PointsBet (1.4% edge)
• Moneyline: Pirates @ +225 via FanDuel Sportsbook (1.4% edge)
• Total: Over 7.5 @ -120 via FanDuel Sportsbook (64% probability) 🔥

When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best bets today across all major pro and college sports.

Dimers' best bets are based on detailed simulations and gambling expertise to help you make better decisions with your state's legal sportsbooks.

Although the Phillies are more likely to cover the run line, our best bet of Pirates +1.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, according to DimersBOT, and the best odds available.

And while the Phillies are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Pirates moneyline is the best option due to the 1.4% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers.com is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability as a bettor.

Pirates vs. Phillies Prediction

Dimers.com predicts that the Phillies are more likely to defeat the Pirates in the MLB game on Thursday.

This prediction is backed by extensive data-driven analysis, with the Phillies having a 68% probability of winning after conducting 10,000 game simulations.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information.

Dimers has full coverage of Thursday's Pirates-Phillies game, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so keep an eye on this page for the latest betting analysis ahead of Pirates vs. Phillies on Thursday September 28, 2023.

Pirates vs. Phillies 2023

Thursday's MLB matchup between the Phillies and Pirates at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 6:05PM ET.

• Who: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies
• Date: Thursday September 28, 2023
• Time: 6:05PM ET / 3:05PM PT
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park

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Make Informed Sports Betting Decisions with Dimers

Dimers' picks are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While these Pirates vs. Phillies predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Want More MLB Predictions Like This?

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That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds against its own probabilities to find edges in the markets, which allows us to produce the most reliable MLB betting previews and beat the public and the sportsbooks to the punch.

In addition to our leading MLB predictions, Dimers also offers the best MLB prop bets today, projecting home runs, RBIs, and more against the top odds available every single day of the MLB season.

Lastly, Dimers' Baseball Futures page is our in-house approach to determining who will win the World Series, with our data-driven probabilities paired with the best odds on the market.