Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Close Contest Projected After New Data Released for Sunday's MLB Game [7/28/2024]

The Arizona Diamondbacks will face the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action at Chase Field on Sunday, commencing at 4:10PM ET.

The Diamondbacks will send Yilber Diaz (1-1, 5.40 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Mitch Keller (10-5, 3.34 ERA) for the Pirates.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Diamondbacks as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Pirates-Diamondbacks game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Diamondbacks with a win probability of 55%, while the Pirates have 45%."

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's MLB action between the Diamondbacks and Pirates at Chase Field is scheduled to commence at 4:10PM ET.

• Who: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
• Date: Sunday, July 28, 2024
• Time: 4:10PM ET/1:10PM PT
• Venue: Chase Field
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Pirates vs. Diamondbacks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Diamondbacks vs. Pirates picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Pirates and Diamondbacks 10,000 times as part of our MLB picks coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Diamondbacks a 55% chance of beating the Pirates.

According to our model, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Pre-Game Probabilities

Last Updated: 8:33PM, Jul 28

Moneyline

Over / Under

Run Line

Pirates

Win %

47%

53%

-102

-110

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D-Backs

Pirates PIT

-102

Win %

47%

53%

See Matchup

D-Backs ARI

-110

Mitch Keller 10-5, 3.34 ERA

Yilber Diaz 1-1, 5.40 ERA

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Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Odds [7/28/2024]

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Pirates vs. Diamondbacks matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best MLB bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot: Best Bets Today

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest free picks featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Diamondbacks, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Pirates on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pirates vs. Diamondbacks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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